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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.1B

GL Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation logo Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation GLDD · US
Price$8.30
Fair Value$15.75
Upside+89.8%
Quality56/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range $8.44 – $23.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −12.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 90% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($8.44 to $23.08). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.98 $4.80 Fair Value $15.75 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.80 – $16.98 · fair‑value band $8.44 – $23.08 · the $8.30 price screens below the $15.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD) currently trades at $8.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.75, implying the stock looks roughly 89.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation generated revenue of $888M at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 26.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.2%. Net debt stands at $445M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.44 (bear case) to $23.08 (bull case); at $8.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 90%, GLDD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.11 $12.57 $17.93 80
Residual Income $7.10 $8.67 $20.21 76
Rev-Margin DCF $9.29 $17.31 $26.06 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.91 $12.89 $19.16 38
5Y Revenue Exit $9.29 $17.19 $26.99 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.75 $23.41 $35.44 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.97 $16.61 $24.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8.16 $14.70 $22.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.55 $18.57 $28.61 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.38 $14.34 $21.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.48 $19.00 $24.70 54
PEG = 1.0 $3.53 $5.04 $6.55 46
EPV $6.36 $7.97 $9.31 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0800 $0.1300 $0.1900 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.33 $23.10 $28.88 63
P/S Multiple $14.03 $18.70 $23.38 58
P/B Multiple $14.03 $18.70 $23.38 55
EV/EBIT $18.50 $26.49 $34.48 53
EV/EBITDA $19.20 $27.42 $35.65 54
EV/Revenue $11.30 $18.48 $25.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.87 $5.19 $7.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.11 $12.57 $17.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.29 $17.31 $26.06 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.10 $8.67 $20.21 76
ROIC Compounder $6.36 $8.05 $10.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.42 $19.17 $24.91 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($19.17) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $888M
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.5%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 15.2%
Free cash flow $99.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.7
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.08
EPS growth (YoY) -37.9%
Net debt $445M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation provides dredging services in the United States. The company offers capital dredging that consists of port expansion projects; coastal restoration and land reclamations; trench digging for pipelines, tunnels, and cables; and other dredging related to the construction of breakwaters, jetties, canals, and other marine …

Full company description

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation provides dredging services in the United States. The company offers capital dredging that consists of port expansion projects; coastal restoration and land reclamations; trench digging for pipelines, tunnels, and cables; and other dredging related to the construction of breakwaters, jetties, canals, and other marine structures. It is also involved in coastal protection projects comprising moving sand from the ocean floor to shoreline locations where erosion threatens shoreline assets; maintenance dredging, which consists of the re-dredging of previously deepened waterways and harbors to remove silt, sand, and other accumulated sediments; and lake and river dredging, inland levee and construction dredging, environmental restoration and habitat improvement, and other marine construction projects. In addition, the company operates hydraulic dredges, hopper dredges, mechanical dredges, scows, and multi cats equipment. It serves federal, state, and local governments; foreign governments; and domestic and foreign private concerns comprising utilities, oil and gas, and other energy companies. The company was formerly known as Lydon & Drews Partnership and changed its name to Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation in 1905. Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. As of April 1, 2026, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Saltchuk Resources, Inc. As of April 1, 2026, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Saltchuk Resources, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation reported revenue of $888M in FY2025 versus $726M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $73.5M in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$888M
Latest YoY
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+3.9%
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 $726M
FY22 $649M
FY23 $590M
FY24 $763M
FY25 $888M
Net income +10.4%/yr
FY21 $49.4M
FY22 −$34.1M
FY23 $13.9M
FY24 $57.3M
FY25 $73.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLDD

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +90% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.73× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.28× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.26× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 61 · sector 26
HEALTH 63 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.75 versus a price of $8.30, about +90% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GLDD?
Our model-based fair value for Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is $15.75 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.30.
What is the quality score of GLDD?
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD)?
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $888M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLDD?
The net profit margin of Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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