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Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $5.1B

GL Golar LNG Limited logo Golar LNG Limited GLNG · US
Price$50.43
Fair Value$9.03
Upside-82.1%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 30.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.01% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.78 – $11.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$57.07 $9.18 Fair Value $9.03 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.18 – $57.07 · fair‑value band $6.78 – $11.29 · the $50.43 price screens above the $9.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) currently trades at $50.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.03, implying the stock looks roughly 82.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Golar LNG Limited generated revenue of $469M at a net margin of 30.1%. Revenue grew 120.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.78 (bear case) to $11.29 (bull case); at $50.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -82%, GLNG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $13.26 $13.15 $11.53 76
ROIC Compounder $0.0300 $1.52 72
Gordon GGM $26.39 $52.59 $79.63 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.39 $16.16 $21.83 54
Lynch FV $3.87 $5.52 $7.18 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.87 $5.52 $7.18 46
EPV $0.0300 $1.52 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.39 $52.59 $79.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage $26.39 $45.45 $55.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.78 $9.03 $11.29 63
P/S Multiple $3.48 $4.64 $5.80 58
P/B Multiple $8.23 $10.97 $13.71 55
EV/EBIT $0.7300 $4.06 53
EV/EBITDA $1.03 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.05 $12.13 $18.11 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.26 $13.15 $11.53 76
ROIC Compounder $0.0300 $1.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.75 $8.21 $10.67 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($45.45) versus Economic Profit ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $469M
Revenue growth (YoY) +120%
Net margin 30.1%
Return on equity 8.9%
Free cash flow −$425M FY2025
P/E ratio 38.2
More key figures
Operating margin 81.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.34
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +948%
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other.

Full company description

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier transportation operations; operation of floating liquefaction natural gas (FLNG) vessels or projects; transportation of LNG carriers; and vessel management activities. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Golar LNG Limited reported revenue of $394M in FY2025 versus $260M in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was $65.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$394M
Latest YoY
+51.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+6.2%
Revenue +10.9%/yr
FY21 $260M
FY22 $268M
FY23 $298M
FY24 $260M
FY25 $394M
Net income
FY21 −$161M
FY22 $675M
FY23 −$46.8M
FY24 $50.8M
FY25 $65.7M

GLNG screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golar LNG Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLNG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 84% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 120% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 24.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 7.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 41
PAST 36 · sector 41
HEALTH 33 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.03 versus a price of $50.43, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLNG?
Our model-based fair value for Golar LNG Limited is $9.03 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $50.43.
What is the quality score of GLNG?
Golar LNG Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Golar LNG Limited (GLNG)?
Golar LNG Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $469M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLNG?
The net profit margin of Golar LNG Limited is about 30.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Golar LNG Limited pay a dividend?
Golar LNG Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.95% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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