OUTFRONT Media Inc (OUT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $5.5B
OUTFRONT Media Inc
OUT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −5.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.94 – $33.58 · fair‑value band $9.55 – $13.94 · the $31.21 price screens above the $12.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
OUTFRONT Media Inc (OUT) currently trades at $31.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.00, implying the stock looks roughly 61.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, OUTFRONT Media Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.8%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.55 (bear case) to $13.94 (bull case); at $31.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -62%, OUT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($14.70) versus Growth DCF ($1.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OUTFRONT Media Inc. is one of the largest and most trusted out-of-home media companies in the U.S., helping brands connect with audiences in the moments and environments that matter most. As OUTFRONT evolves, it defines a new era of in-real-life (IRL) marketing, turning public spaces into platforms for creativity, connection, and cultural relevance.
Full company description
OUTFRONT Media Inc. is one of the largest and most trusted out-of-home media companies in the U.S., helping brands connect with audiences in the moments and environments that matter most. As OUTFRONT evolves, it defines a new era of in-real-life (IRL) marketing, turning public spaces into platforms for creativity, connection, and cultural relevance. With a nationwide footprint across billboards, digital displays, transit systems, and other out-of-home formats, OUTFRONT turns creative into powerful real-world experiences. Its in-house agency, OUTFRONT STUDIOS, and award-winning innovation team, XLabs, deliver standout storytelling, supported by advanced technology and data tools that can drive measurable impact. OUTFRONT Media Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in New York, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OUTFRONT Media Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $147M in FY2025, compounding +42.5%/yr from FY2021.
OUT screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Equinix, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OUT Q2 FFO Beat Estimates on Transit and Billboard Growth
- Outfront Media Inc (OUT) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record FIFA-Driven Growth and ...
- Outfront Media Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Outfront Media (OUT) Q2 Earnings
Peer Group
REIT - Specialty · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equinix, Inc EQIX | $1,009 | $232.70 | -77% |
| American Tower Corporation AMT | $164.65 | $92.31 | -44% |
| Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR | $199.08 | $63.31 | -68% |
| Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM | $128.31 | $40.43 | -68% |
| Crown Castle Inc CCI | $74.90 | $37.67 | -50% |
| SBA Communications Corporation SBAC | $173.57 | $143.83 | -17% |
| Weyerhaeuser Company WY | $23.94 | $8.62 | -64% |
| Lamar Advertising Company LAMR | $159.46 | $102.70 | -36% |
| Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI | $45.17 | $36.60 | -19% |
| Rayonier Inc RYN | $21.58 | $9.96 | -54% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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