Galaxy Digital Inc (GLXY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.4B

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range ($1.59 to $3.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.52 – $42.86 · fair‑value band $1.59 – $3.64 · the $19.54 price screens above the $2.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Galaxy Digital Inc (GLXY) currently trades at $19.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.75, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Galaxy Digital Inc generated revenue of $58.7B at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue declined 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. Net debt stands at $3.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.59 (bear case) to $3.64 (bull case); at $19.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -86%, GLXY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.23) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2569). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Galaxy Digital Inc. engages in the digital asset and data centre infrastructure businesses in North America and internationally. It operates through Digital Assets, Data Centers, and Treasury and Corporate segments.

Full company description

Galaxy Digital Inc. engages in the digital asset and data centre infrastructure businesses in North America and internationally. It operates through Digital Assets, Data Centers, and Treasury and Corporate segments. The Digital Assets segment provides over-the-counter spot and derivatives trading, lending, and structured products, as well as mergers and acquisitions advisory, and equity and debt capital markets services. This segment also manages investments in the digital assets' ecosystem; and offers blockchain-centric technology and infrastructure solutions, including staking, tokenization, and custodial technology. The Data Centers segment comprises the Helios infrastructure assets. The Treasury and Corporate segment engages in managing a portfolio of digital assets, ventures, private equity, and fund investments, as well as in bitcoin mining operations. It also offers GalaxyOne, a retail financial technology platform designed for individual investors seeking access to traditional and digital markets. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Galaxy Digital Inc reported revenue of $61.4B in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$84.9M in FY2025.

GLXY screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

• Soter Insure closes Series B first tranche led by Galaxy Digital Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2026
• Analysts Estimate Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for Yahoo Finance · Jul 29, 2026

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 424 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.