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Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US36317J2096

GD Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd

GLXY · US

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.65 · Strongly overvalued (−90%)
!Quality 33/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +40.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.3% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Insider activity 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$42.86 $2.52 Fair Value $2.65 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.52 – $42.86 · fair‑value band $1.56 – $3.49 · the $26.07 price screens above the $2.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Galaxy Digital Inc. engages in the digital asset and data centre infrastructure businesses in North America and internationally. It operates through Digital Assets, Data Centers, and Treasury and Corporate segments.

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Galaxy Digital Inc. engages in the digital asset and data centre infrastructure businesses in North America and internationally. It operates through Digital Assets, Data Centers, and Treasury and Corporate segments. The Digital Assets segment provides over-the-counter spot and derivatives trading, lending, and structured products, as well as mergers and acquisitions advisory, and equity and debt capital markets services. This segment also manages investments in the digital assets' ecosystem; and offers blockchain-centric technology and infrastructure solutions, including staking, tokenization, and custodial technology. The Data Centers segment comprises the Helios infrastructure assets. The Treasury and Corporate segment engages in managing a portfolio of digital assets, ventures, private equity, and fund investments, as well as in bitcoin mining operations. It also offers GalaxyOne, a retail financial technology platform designed for individual investors seeking access to traditional and digital markets. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY) currently trades at $26.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.65, implying the stock looks roughly 883.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.73 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $26.07 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.89, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.56 (bear) to $3.49 (bull), the price of $26.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $61.4B in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$84.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $8.4B · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2400 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −0.1% · Return on equity −6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 96.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −90%, GLXY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.56 Fair Value $2.65 Bull $3.49
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $2.26 $4.51 $6.82 64
DDM Multi-Stage $2.26 $3.89 $4.76 64
NCAV (Graham) $5.03 $6.73 $10.05 51
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.26 $4.51 $6.82 64
DDM Multi-Stage $2.26 $3.89 $4.76 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.03 $6.73 $10.05 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GLXY screens 883% overvalued. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 96% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 91
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $206.28 $185.57 −10%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $976.67 $756.89 −23%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $107.79 $102.31 −5%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $91.37 $22.69 −75%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $104.42 $47.18 −55%
Macquarie Group MQG A$239.64 A$75.58 −68%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.45 ¥17.68 −33%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.50 ¥18.62 +6%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.09 ¥4.77 −74%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥23.19 ¥35.84 +55%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLXY

Frequently asked questions

Is Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.65 versus a price of $26.07, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLXY?
Our model-based fair value for Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is $2.65 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.07.
What is the quality score of GLXY?
Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.65 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.56, optimistic scenario $3.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.65, about −90% upside versus a price of $26.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.56, optimistic scenario $3.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $58.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd it is $2.65 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $26.07. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, GLXY trades above its calculated fair value: price $26.07, fair value $2.65, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GLXY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.65). For Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd the two are $23.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd at about $8.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $26.07; our models calculate a fair value of $2.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GLXY?
Our models span a range for Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario $1.56, base $2.65, optimistic $3.49 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $26.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity −6.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GLXY from its 52-week high?
Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd trades at $26.07, about 43% below its 52-week high of $45.92 and 59% above the low of $16.43 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $26.07, calculated fair value $2.65 (−90%), Quality Score 33/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GLXY calculated?
We run Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $26.07. Our model-based fair value is $2.65, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.56 to $3.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The market capitalisation of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is $8.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd are $−0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The dividend yield of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The net margin of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is −0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is −6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
The operating margin of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is 96.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Revenue at Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is growing −20.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd are growing −92.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY) generate?
The free cash flow of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is −$1.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd (GLXY) carry?
The net debt of Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd is $3.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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