GR Engineering Services Limited (GNG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$855M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +26.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$4.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (A$2.56 to A$4.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.8038 – A$6.09 · fair‑value band A$2.56 – A$4.97 · the A$6.04 price screens above the A$3.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
GR Engineering Services Limited (GNG) currently trades at A$6.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.42, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GR Engineering Services Limited generated revenue of A$425M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 19.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 41.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$61.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.56 (bear case) to A$4.97 (bull case); at A$6.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 123% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -43%, GNG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$4.53) versus Asset-Based (A$0.2700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GR Engineering Services Limited provides engineering, process control, automation, and construction services to the mining and mineral processing industries in Australia and internationally. The company operates through Mineral Processing and Oil & Gas segments.
Full company description
GR Engineering Services Limited provides engineering, process control, automation, and construction services to the mining and mineral processing industries in Australia and internationally. The company operates through Mineral Processing and Oil & Gas segments. It also offers feasibility studies, such as scoping, pre-feasibility, and definitive level studies, as well as study work and services that include front end engineering design, operations and process optimization, due diligence reviews, asset management system development and monitoring, risk evaluation and hazard/operability studies, technology evaluation and trade-off studies, and refurbishment assessments. In addition, the company provides design and construction of minerals processing facilities and related infrastructure for green fields or brownfield projects, including plant modifications, and upgrades, and expansions; plant evaluation and condition reports; plant operations, and maintenance support and optimization; and plant relocation, refurbishment, and recommissioning, as well as offers owners representatives and teams for project management and delivery. Further, it provides project management services comprising project studies, engineering and procurement, construction and commissioning, operations and technical support, and infrastructure development services. Additionally, the company offers design and construction services comprising of civil, structural, mechanical, piping, electrical, instrumentation/control design, site structural, electrical construction, and installation works; and consulting services. GR Engineering Services Limited was founded in 1986 and is based in Ascot, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GR Engineering Services Limited reported revenue of A$479M in FY2025 versus A$392M in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$34.2M in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.
GNG screens 43% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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