Great Northern Minerals Limited (GNM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$17.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from A$0.0300 to A$0.0333 (+11.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +12.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 10% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Our model range runs from A$0.0298 (bear) to A$0.0368 (bull), base A$0.0333. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 39/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.2700 · fair‑value band A$0.0298 – A$0.0368 · the A$0.0370 price screens above the A$0.0333 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Great Northern Minerals Limited (GNM) currently trades at A$0.0370, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0333, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$67.9K. It earns a return on equity of -91.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0298 (bear case) to A$0.0368 (bull case); at A$0.0370, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 196% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -10%, GNM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Great Northern Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Finland. It explores for lithium, gold, and copper deposits.
Full company description
Great Northern Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Finland. It explores for lithium, gold, and copper deposits. The company holds interests in the Finland lithium properties comprising the Sukula project that covers approximately 174.3 square kilometers and the Kuusisuo project that consists of approximately 362 square kilometers. It also holds interests in the Douglas Creek project situated in north Queensland Australia. The company was formerly known as Greenpower Energy Limited and changed its name to Great Northern Minerals Limited in October 2019. Great Northern Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1899 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Great Northern Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$19.2K in FY2025 versus A$2.3K in FY2021, a compound +70.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$616K in FY2025.
GNM screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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