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Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Great Northern Minerals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000067092

GN Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Great Northern Minerals Ltd

GNM · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0326 · Fairly valued (−1%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −31.2 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1800 A$0.0100 Fair Value A$0.0326 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.1800 · fair‑value band A$0.0292 – A$0.0360 · the A$0.0330 price screens above the A$0.0326 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Great Northern Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Finland. It explores for lithium, gold, and copper deposits.

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Great Northern Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Finland. It explores for lithium, gold, and copper deposits. The company holds interests in the Finland lithium properties comprising the Sukula project that covers approximately 174.3 square kilometers and the Kuusisuo project that consists of approximately 362 square kilometers. It also holds interests in the Douglas Creek project situated in north Queensland Australia. The company was formerly known as Greenpower Energy Limited and changed its name to Great Northern Minerals Limited in October 2019. Great Northern Minerals Limited was incorporated in 1899 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM) currently trades at A$0.0330, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0326, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0292 (bear) to A$0.0360 (bull), the price of A$0.0330 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Great Northern Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$19.2K in FY2025 versus A$2.3K in FY2021, a compound +70.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$616K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$17.2M (≈ $12.1M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −91.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −57.5% · Revenue growth (YoY) −98.4% · Free cash flow −A$744K · Net cash A$1.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −1%, GNM screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−71.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+120.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,137.5% (2020) → −4,113.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −98% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.93× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)32 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $121.30 $133.43 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

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Great Northern Minerals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0326 −1%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Northern Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GNM

Frequently asked questions

Is Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0326 versus a price of A$0.0330, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GNM?
Our model-based fair value for Great Northern Minerals Ltd is A$0.0326 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0330.
What is the quality score of GNM?
Great Northern Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0326 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0292, optimistic scenario A$0.0360. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Northern Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0326, about −1% upside versus a price of A$0.0330 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0292, optimistic scenario A$0.0360. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Northern Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0326 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0330. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great Northern Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, GNM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0330, fair value A$0.0326, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GNM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0330); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0326). For Great Northern Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0004 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Northern Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Great Northern Minerals Ltd at about A$17.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0330; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0326 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GNM?
Our models span a range for Great Northern Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0292, base A$0.0326, optimistic A$0.0360 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0330). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Northern Minerals Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −91.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GNM from its 52-week high?
Great Northern Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0330, about 69% below its 52-week high of A$0.1050 and 22% above the low of A$0.0270 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0326 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Northern Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Northern Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0330, calculated fair value A$0.0326 (−1%), Quality Score 39/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GNM calculated?
We run Great Northern Minerals Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0326, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Great Northern Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0330. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0326, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Northern Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Great Northern Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
The market capitalisation of Great Northern Minerals Ltd is A$17.2M (≈ $12.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
Earnings per share at Great Northern Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Northern Minerals Ltd is −91.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Northern Minerals Ltd is −57.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM)?
Revenue at Great Northern Minerals Ltd is growing −98.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +120%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM) generate?
The free cash flow of Great Northern Minerals Ltd is −A$744K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Great Northern Minerals Ltd (GNM) hold?
Great Northern Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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