Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹49.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −15.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,155). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹81.03 – ₹1,629 · fair‑value band ₹693.21 – ₹1,155 · the ₹1,325 price screens above the ₹924.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) currently trades at ₹1,325, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹924.27, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Goodluck India Limited generated revenue of ₹41.0B at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at ₹10.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹693.21 (bear case) to ₹1,155 (bull case); at ₹1,325, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -30%, GOODLUCK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,026) versus Dividend Discount (₹109.44). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Goodluck India Limited manufactures and supplies precision engineering and steel products in India. The company provides electric resistance welded and cold drawn welded tubes, custom forgings, power and telecom towers, solar structures, ERW hot dip galvanized pipes, black pipes, black and GI hollow sections, cold formed profile, road safety products, …
Full company description
Goodluck India Limited manufactures and supplies precision engineering and steel products in India. The company provides electric resistance welded and cold drawn welded tubes, custom forgings, power and telecom towers, solar structures, ERW hot dip galvanized pipes, black pipes, black and GI hollow sections, cold formed profile, road safety products, galvanized plain, corrugated sheets, CR coils, CRCA sheets and pipes, forgings and flanges, telecom and transmission line towers, substation structure, road and railways bridge, and road safety equipment. It offers two-wheeler frame, hydraulic cylinder, boiler, crash bumper, engine mounting, and exhaust tubes; CBQ pressure outers; TFF-front fork; drive shaft; rear axles; sections; control arms; fuel lines; furniture; section pipes; and cycle frame, forks, and hub tubes. In addition, the company provides stub-ends/collors, spectacle blind, valve/SRN nozzle, and tube sheet for oil and gas applications; forged body, block, bars, and shape forging; valve forging, ICV, MSV valve, nonstandard, and strainers; and flush ring, nut NPT, nipple, taper union, nut, assembly, and hygiene flange. Further, it offers overhead electrification and substation structure; and fabricated structures for railway and road bridges, roads and expressways, building structures, launching girder, boiler structure, and defense fabrication. The company serves clients from public and private sector OEMs, and central and state government entities. It also exports its products to the United Kingdom, the United States, South Africa, the United Arab Emirates, Germany, and France. The company was formerly known as Good Luck Steel Tubes Limited and changed its name to Goodluck India Limited in June 2016. Goodluck India Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Ghaziabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Goodluck India Limited reported revenue of ₹41.0B in FY2026 versus ₹25.8B in FY2022, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.8B in FY2026, compounding +24.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +15.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GOODLUCK screens 30% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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