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Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS TRY 3.58, price TRY 2.21, upside +62.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · TR · ISIN TRAGOODY91E9

GL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Goodyear Lastikleri TAS

GOODY · IS

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 3.58 TRY · Strongly undervalued (+62.0%)
!Quality 35/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +53.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -11.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5.15 TRY 1.18 TRY Fair Value 3.58 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.18 TRY – 5.15 TRY · fair‑value band 2.55 TRY – 4.60 TRY · the 2.21 TRY price screens below the 3.58 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Goodyear Lastikleri T.A.S. produces and sells radial tires for passenger cars, vans, minibuses, trucks, and buses under the Goodyear, Fulda, Sava, Debica, and Kelly brands worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is based in Maslak, Türkiye. Goodyear Lastikleri T.A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Goodyear S.A.

Stock analysis

Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY) currently trades at 2.21 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.58 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 20.63 TRY per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the 2.21 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.8800 TRY, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 2.55 TRY (bear) to 4.60 TRY (bull), the price of 2.21 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Goodyear Lastikleri TAS reported revenue of 27.0B TRL in FY2025 versus 4.6B TRL in FY2021, a compound +55.4%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0B TRL in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.9B TRY (≈ $78.9M) · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) −1.99 TRY · Net margin −11.0% · Return on equity −92.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3% · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) 26.0B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 62%, GOODY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.55 TRY Fair Value 3.58 TRY Bull 4.60 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 22.49 TRY 34.44 TRY 62.74 TRY 78
Growth DCF 21.50 TRY 36.02 TRY 58.82 TRY 77
5Y EBITDA Exit 13.23 TRY 20.63 TRY 31.49 TRY 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 22.49 TRY 34.44 TRY 62.74 TRY 78
5Y Revenue Exit 10.03 TRY 13.55 TRY 18.46 TRY 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 13.23 TRY 20.63 TRY 31.49 TRY 74
10Y Revenue Exit 14.57 TRY 20.33 TRY 26.49 TRY 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 16.53 TRY 25.27 TRY 38.85 TRY 67
Earnings-Based
EPV 1.97 TRY 2.13 TRY 2.27 TRY 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 3.68 TRY 4.70 TRY 5.73 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 8.25 TRY 10.81 TRY 13.36 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 2.67 TRY 3.56 TRY 4.45 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6600 TRY 0.8800 TRY 1.32 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 21.50 TRY 36.02 TRY 58.82 TRY 77
Rev-Margin DCF 10.03 TRY 14.14 TRY 19.98 TRY 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 2.18 TRY 2.64 TRY 3.21 TRY 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +35.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.4% (2020) → 1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 682 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +62.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −11.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Genuine Parts Company GPC $129.61 $57.98 −55%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.00 $69.37 +7%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,250 ₹25,213 −48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥46.44 ¥28.28 −39%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Goodyear Lastikleri TAS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOODY

Frequently asked questions

Is Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.58 TRY versus a price of 2.21 TRY, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GOODY?
Our model-based fair value for Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 3.58 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.21 TRY.
What is the quality score of GOODY?
Goodyear Lastikleri TAS has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.58 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.55 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.60 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Goodyear Lastikleri TAS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.58 TRY, about +62% upside versus a price of 2.21 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.55 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.60 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Goodyear Lastikleri TAS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.0B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Goodyear Lastikleri TAS it is 3.58 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.21 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Goodyear Lastikleri TAS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GOODY trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.21 TRY, fair value 3.58 TRY, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOODY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.21 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.58 TRY). For Goodyear Lastikleri TAS the two are 1.37 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Goodyear Lastikleri TAS worth?
The market values Goodyear Lastikleri TAS at about 3.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.21 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.58 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOODY?
Our models span a range for Goodyear Lastikleri TAS: cautious scenario 2.55 TRY, base 3.58 TRY, optimistic 4.60 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.21 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −92.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOODY from its 52-week high?
Goodyear Lastikleri TAS trades at 2.21 TRY, about 44% below its 52-week high of 3.93 TRY and 1% above the low of 2.19 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.58 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Goodyear Lastikleri TAS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Goodyear Lastikleri TAS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.21 TRY, calculated fair value 3.58 TRY (+62%), Quality Score 35/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOODY calculated?
We run Goodyear Lastikleri TAS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.58 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Goodyear Lastikleri TAS currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 2.21 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.58 TRY, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Goodyear Lastikleri TAS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.55 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.55 TRY to 4.60 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS

How large is the market capitalisation of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
The market capitalisation of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 3.9B TRY (≈ $78.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Earnings per share at Goodyear Lastikleri TAS are −1.99 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
The net margin of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is −11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is −92.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 13.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
The operating margin of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Revenue at Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is growing −11.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY)?
Earnings per share at Goodyear Lastikleri TAS are growing −31.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY) generate?
The free cash flow of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 1.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Goodyear Lastikleri TAS (GOODY) carry?
The net debt of Goodyear Lastikleri TAS is 808M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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