Growthpoint Properties Australia vision (GOZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$1.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from A$2.65 to A$2.64 (−0.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (A$1.38 to A$3.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.54 – A$3.17 · fair‑value band A$1.38 – A$3.90 · the A$2.24 price screens below the A$2.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Growthpoint Properties Australia vision (GOZ) currently trades at A$2.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.64, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Growthpoint Properties Australia vision generated revenue of A$333M at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at A$1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.38 (bear case) to A$3.90 (bull case); at A$2.24, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 18%, GOZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$2.81) versus Growth DCF (A$0.7200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Growthpoint Properties Australia vision is to create sustainable value in everything they do, by being the forward-thinking, trusted partner of choice. Since 2009, They been investing in high-quality Australian real estate. Growthpoint Properties Australia directly owned portfolio comprises modern, high-quality, office and industrial properties.
Full company description
Growthpoint Properties Australia vision is to create sustainable value in everything they do, by being the forward-thinking, trusted partner of choice. Since 2009, They been investing in high-quality Australian real estate. Growthpoint Properties Australia directly owned portfolio comprises modern, high-quality, office and industrial properties. Through funds management business, they also manage a portfolio of office, industrial and retail assets for third-party wholesale syndicates and institutional investors. Growthpoint Properties Australia are an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT), with a focused, passionate and agile team committed to delivering results together. They are dedicated to genuine, long-standing relationships, fostered through innovation, collaboration and the pursuit of being a great partner. They are committed to operating in a sustainable way and reducing our impact on the environment and are proud to have achieved our Net Zero Target by 1 July 2025 across our directly owned operationally controlled office assets and corporate activities. Growthpoint Properties Australia is listed on the ASX and is part of the S&P/ASX 300. Moodys has assigned a Baa2 domestic backed senior secured bank credit facility rating. Growthpoint Properties Australia was established on February 22, 2007 and incorporated in Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Growthpoint Properties Australia vision reported revenue of A$327M in FY2025 versus A$294M in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$125M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
REIT - Office · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Office median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL | €15.23 | €6.46 | -58% |
| BXP, Inc BXP | $69.11 | $53.27 | -23% |
| Vornado Realty Trust VNORP | $51.75 | $41.59 | -20% |
| Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE | $50.12 | $59.48 | +19% |
| Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP | $15.38 | $4.60 | -70% |
| Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU | 1.28 SGD | 1.14 SGD | -11% |
| Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ | $32.15 | $17.62 | -45% |
| Kilroy Realty Corporation KRC | $39.42 | $40.37 | +2% |
| Keppel DC REIT AJBU | 2.20 SGD | 1.68 SGD | -24% |
| DEXUS DXS | A$5.64 | A$4.49 | -20% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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