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Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Great Dirt Resources Ltd stock A$0.07, price A$0.60, upside -88.7%, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000297731

GD Great Dirt Resources Ltd logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Great Dirt Resources Ltd

GR8 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +27% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +27.4 %/yr in AUD)
Moderate moat 49/100 · thin data
Fair value A$0.0680 · Strongly overvalued (−88.7%)
Quality 26/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.8700 A$0.0970 Fair Value A$0.0680 Nov 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range A$0.0970 – A$0.8700 · fair‑value band A$0.0425 – A$0.0850 · the A$0.6000 price screens above the A$0.0680 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Great Dirt Resources Ltd primarily focuses on the exploration of battery-grade manganese and lithium in Australia.

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It holds interests in the Doherty and Basin Manganese projects covering an area of 168 square kilometers located on the north of Tamworth in northern New South Wales; Nullagine project that consists of 68 and 29 blocks covering an area of 311 square kilometers situated in the Shire of East Pilbara, Western Australia; and Pilbara project, which includes 21 contiguous blocks covering an area of 67 square kilometers located in the Pilbara region, Western Australia.

The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8) currently trades at A$0.6000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0680, 88.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0425 (bear) to A$0.0850 (bull), the price of A$0.6000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Great Dirt Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$123K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$19.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$29.5M (≈ $20.8M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.4600 · Return on equity −404% · Return on assets (EBIT) −86.8% · Revenue (TTM) A$123K · Revenue growth (YoY) +27.4% · Free cash flow −A$609K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 275% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, GR8 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0425 Fair Value A$0.0680 Bull A$0.0850
Price A$0.6000 · Upside -88.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 54
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 81
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GR8 screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 366 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 27.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 91
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹233.05 ₹613.43 +163% vs GR8
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥30.72 ¥54.86 +79% vs GR8
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.98 ¥19.48 +39% vs GR8
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 56.35 SAR 61.99 SAR +10% vs GR8
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹492.50 ₹541.75 +10% vs GR8
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥30.45 ¥33.50 +10% vs GR8
Boliden AB BOL kr 508.80 kr 464.45 −9% vs GR8
Korea Zinc Company 010130 856,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −24% vs GR8
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥35.09 ¥23.20 −34% vs GR8
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$9.77 C$4.46 −54% vs GR8

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Great Dirt Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0680 −89%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Dirt Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GR8

Frequently asked questions

Is Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0680 versus a price of A$0.6000, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GR8?
Our model-based fair value for Great Dirt Resources Ltd is A$0.0680 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6000.
What is the quality score of GR8?
Great Dirt Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0680 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0425, optimistic scenario A$0.0850. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Dirt Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0680, about −89% upside versus a price of A$0.6000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0425, optimistic scenario A$0.0850. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
Great Dirt Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$123K (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Dirt Resources Ltd it is A$0.0680 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of A$0.6000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great Dirt Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, GR8 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.6000, fair value A$0.0680, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GR8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0680). For Great Dirt Resources Ltd the two are A$0.5320 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Dirt Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Great Dirt Resources Ltd at about A$29.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0680 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GR8?
Our models span a range for Great Dirt Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0425, base A$0.0680, optimistic A$0.0850 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price A$0.6000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Dirt Resources Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −403.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GR8 from its 52-week high?
Great Dirt Resources Ltd trades at A$0.6000, about 31% below its 52-week high of A$0.8700 and 275% above the low of A$0.1600 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0680 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Dirt Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Boliden AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Dirt Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price A$0.6000, calculated fair value A$0.0680 (−89%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GR8 calculated?
We run Great Dirt Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0680, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Great Dirt Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was A$0.6000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0680, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Dirt Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0850). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0425 to A$0.0850) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Great Dirt Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
The market capitalisation of Great Dirt Resources Ltd is A$29.5M (≈ $20.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
Earnings per share at Great Dirt Resources Ltd are A$−0.4600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Dirt Resources Ltd is −404% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Dirt Resources Ltd is −86.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8)?
Revenue at Great Dirt Resources Ltd is growing +27.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8) generate?
The free cash flow of Great Dirt Resources Ltd is −A$609K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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