Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$27.6M

Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range (A$0.0300 to A$0.0700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range A$0.0970 – A$0.8700 · fair‑value band A$0.0300 – A$0.0700 · the A$0.4900 price screens above the A$0.0500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Great Dirt Resources Ltd (GR8) currently trades at A$0.4900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 89.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$123K. Revenue grew 27.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.2%. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0300 (bear case) to A$0.0700 (bull case); at A$0.4900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -90%, GR8 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Great Dirt Resources Ltd primarily focuses on the exploration of battery-grade manganese and lithium in Australia. It holds interests in the Doherty and Basin Manganese projects covering an area of 168 square kilometers located on the north of Tamworth in northern New South Wales; Nullagine project that consists of 68 and 29 blocks covering an area of 311 …

Full company description

Great Dirt Resources Ltd primarily focuses on the exploration of battery-grade manganese and lithium in Australia. It holds interests in the Doherty and Basin Manganese projects covering an area of 168 square kilometers located on the north of Tamworth in northern New South Wales; Nullagine project that consists of 68 and 29 blocks covering an area of 311 square kilometers situated in the Shire of East Pilbara, Western Australia; and Pilbara project, which includes 21 contiguous blocks covering an area of 67 square kilometers located in the Pilbara region, Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Great Dirt Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$123K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$428K in FY2025.

GR8 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.