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Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V $0.78, price $0.82, upside -4.9%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · Home Mexico

GR Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V

GRPRF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.7800 · Fairly valued (−4.9%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 5 out of 100
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.79 $0.1729 Fair Value $0.7800 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1729 – $1.79 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $1.10 · the $0.8200 price screens above the $0.7800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, purchases, sells, and installs plastic containers and accessories for water storage, conduction, and improvement solutions in Mexico, Argentina, the United States and internationally. It operates through Individual Solutions and Comprehensive Solutions segments.

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Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, purchases, sells, and installs plastic containers and accessories for water storage, conduction, and improvement solutions in Mexico, Argentina, the United States and internationally. It operates through Individual Solutions and Comprehensive Solutions segments. The company offers storage solutions, water tanks, cisterns, rural rainwater collector, urban rain collector, rotoplas accessories, water conditioning device, tamboplas, reservoirs, rainwater collection system, tank accessories. It provides agroindustry solutions, such as storage tank, hoppers, mother tank, feeders and drinkers, closed vertical tank, indoor water tanks outdoor water tanks, horizontal water tanks, firefighting water tanks, banjo accessories, bilayer tank, wet nurses, feeders and drinkers, and closed vertical tanks. The company also provides hydraulic pipe tubes, connections and tools and hydraulic installation used in single-family, social interest and residential homes, tall buildings, industries, boats, and others; and treatment solutions, such as biodigester, wet bath, system for agricultural irrigation type family orchard, self-cleaning biodigester, and septic tank, as well as heating products, that includes ecoshower electric shower and hot springs. Further, it provides sewage treatment, purification, desalination, processed water, and integrated water solutions. Additionally, the company engages in real estate services and residual water treatment activities; digital research and development services; and operates electronic trade platform, as well as grants financial support. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Stock analysis

Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) currently trades at $0.8200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7800, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.1%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.20 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.8200 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2300, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.4600 (bear) to $1.10 (bull), the price of $0.8200 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 11.1B MXN in FY2025 versus 10.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −39.7M MXN in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $407M · P/E ratio 82.0 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9% · Operating margin 6.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −5%, GRPRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4600 Fair Value $0.7800 Bull $1.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.21 $1.79 $2.52 78
Growth DCF $1.23 $1.75 $2.38 77
Owner Earnings $0.3500 $0.6100 $0.9500 73
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.21 $1.79 $2.52 78
Owner Earnings $0.3500 $0.6100 $0.9500 73
5Y Revenue Exit $0.6500 $1.00 $1.41 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.03 $1.69 $2.42 72
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8500 $1.20 $1.60 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.09 $1.63 $2.28 66
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.1600 $0.2300 $0.2900 73
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.5600 $0.8700 $1.18 65
EV/EBITDA $1.09 $1.58 $2.07 67
EV/Revenue $0.3000 $0.5800 $0.8600 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6500 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.23 $1.75 $2.38 77
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6500 $1.03 $1.45 70
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.1600 $0.2300 $0.2900 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.1% (2020) → 5.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in MXN, Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.7% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.0%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 251 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −73.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Return on assets 2.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.72× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 82.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)5 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)64 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Masco Corporation MAS $68.85 $56.94 −17%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $325.21 $347.14 +7%
Lennox International Inc LII $368.41 $302.52 −18%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $24.97 $20.32 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRPRF

Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7800 versus a price of $0.8200, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRPRF?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is $0.7800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8200.
What is the quality score of GRPRF?
Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $1.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7800, about −5% upside versus a price of $0.8200 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $1.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.1B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRPRF use?
Our models discount Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V that is -0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies -0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (-0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.23 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V it is $0.7800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.8200. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRPRF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.8200, fair value $0.7800, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRPRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7800). For Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V the two are $0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V at about $407M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.8200; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRPRF?
Our models span a range for Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario $0.4600, base $0.7800, optimistic $1.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.8200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRPRF?
Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 82.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 8.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRPRF from its 52-week high?
Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V trades at $0.8200, at its 52-week high of $0.8200 and 39% above the low of $0.5910 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.8200, calculated fair value $0.7800 (−5%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRPRF calculated?
We run Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.8200. Our model-based fair value is $0.7800, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.4600 to $1.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) come from?
Earnings per share at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V grew −7.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −0.5 %, tax rate +3.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −15.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V

How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is $407M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 82.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The net margin of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is −0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
The operating margin of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Revenue at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is growing +1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V are growing +360% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V (GRPRF) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V is 4.3B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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