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Getlink SE (GRPTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Getlink SE $12.65, price $21.90, upside -42.2%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Getlink SE
GRPTF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $12.65 · Strongly overvalued (−42.2%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.7% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 70/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.21 – $22.00 · fair‑value band $7.77 – $17.43 · the $21.90 price screens above the $12.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Getlink SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, finance, construction, and operation of fixed link infrastructure and transport system in France and the United Kingdom. It operates through Eurotunnel, Europorte, and ElecLink segments.
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Getlink SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, finance, construction, and operation of fixed link infrastructure and transport system in France and the United Kingdom. It operates through Eurotunnel, Europorte, and ElecLink segments. The Eurotunnel segment operates tunnels of a length of approximately 50 kilometres each under the English Channel, as well as terminals at Folkestone in the United Kingdom and the Coquelles in France. It also provides passenger shuttle services for the transport of trucks, cars, motor homes, caravans, coaches, motorcycles, trailers, commercial vans, and other vehicles. In addition, this segment manages passenger trains and rail freight, as well as fixed equipment and related installations. Its Europorte segment offers a range of integrated rail freight services, including national and international haulage, local services for secondary lines, individual junction management, infrastructure maintenance, and wagon loading and unloading services. The ElecLink segment engages in the construction and operation of a 1-gigawatt electricity interconnector between France and the Great Britain. The company also engages in consultancy and custom services; professional training services for the rail sector; and third-party retail, telecommunication cables, and property businesses, as well as the sale of travel insurance products. The company was formerly known as Groupe Eurotunnel S.E. and changed its name to Getlink SE in April 2018. Getlink SE was founded in 1802 and is based in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Getlink SE (GRPTF) currently trades at $21.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.65, 42.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.88 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $21.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.85, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.77 (bear) to $17.43 (bull), the price of $21.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Getlink SE reported revenue of €1.6B in FY2025 versus €774M in FY2021, a compound +19.8%/yr. Reported net income was €320M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $11.9B · P/E ratio 32.2 · P/S ratio 6.46 · EPS (TTM) $0.6800 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 20.1% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −42%, GRPTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.77
Fair Value $12.65
Bull $17.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$11.38
$20.28
$33.22
78
Growth DCF
$11.86
$20.03
$31.32
77
Residual Income
$5.29
$6.05
$7.59
76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$11.38
$20.28
$33.22
78
Owner Earnings
$4.48
$10.11
$18.30
73
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.85
$4.52
$7.60
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$8.05
$15.70
$24.25
73
5Y P/E Exit
$5.23
$10.61
$15.96
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$5.10
$8.20
$11.76
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$9.11
$15.81
$24.05
67
10Y P/E Exit
$7.34
$12.35
$17.93
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$4.52
$11.54
$15.02
65
PEG = 1.0
$2.16
$3.08
$4.01
57
EPV
$2.82
$4.53
$6.02
72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$5.98
$11.64
$19.73
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$5.98
$9.13
$12.53
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$10.46
$13.95
$17.43
63
P/S Multiple
$4.96
$6.62
$8.27
58
P/B Multiple
$8.47
$11.29
$14.11
55
EV/EBIT
$7.81
$12.88
$17.95
64
EV/EBITDA
$8.06
$13.22
$18.38
65
EV/Revenue
n/a
n/a
$0.3400
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.87
$3.85
$5.74
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$11.86
$20.03
$31.32
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.85
$4.85
$7.77
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$5.29
$6.05
$7.59
76
ROIC Compounder
$2.82
$4.53
$6.25
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$8.11
$11.59
$15.07
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
63/100
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 36%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.8% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.8%
GRPTF screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (81 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Getlink SE: Information Relating to the Total Number of Shares and Voting Rights Which Form the Share Capital
- Getlink SE: Shuttle Traffic in August 2026
- Getlink SE: Half-Year Review of the Liquidity Contract
- Getlink SE: Shuttle Traffic in July 2026
Compare Getlink SE with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $272.13 | $153.47 | −44% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.51 | $12.91 | −72% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $86.56 | $37.51 | −57% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $121.14 | $98.68 | −19% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $309.00 | $133.05 | −57% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $288.00 | $290.92 | +1% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.69 | ¥5.65 | +20% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.97 | ¥9.21 | +54% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.66 | ¥5.48 | +18% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 115,900 KRW | 127,490 KRW | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Getlink SE (GRPTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.65 versus a price of $21.90, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRPTF?
Our model-based fair value for Getlink SE is $12.65 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.90.
What is the quality score of GRPTF?
Getlink SE has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.65 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.77, optimistic scenario $17.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Getlink SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.65, about −42% upside versus a price of $21.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.77, optimistic scenario $17.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Getlink SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Getlink SE pay a dividend?
Getlink SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.65% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Getlink SE would have to grow free cash flow by +9.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRPTF use?
Our models discount Getlink SE at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Getlink SE that is +9.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Getlink SE (GRPTF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Getlink SE grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies +9.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Getlink SE (GRPTF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Getlink SE (+9.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.92 %: that much free cash flow Getlink SE produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Getlink SE it is $12.65 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $21.90. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Getlink SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, GRPTF trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.90, fair value $12.65, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRPTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.65). For Getlink SE the two are $9.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Getlink SE worth?
The market values Getlink SE at about $11.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $21.90; our models calculate a fair value of $12.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRPTF?
Our models span a range for Getlink SE: cautious scenario $7.77, base $12.65, optimistic $17.43 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $21.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRPTF?
Getlink SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.2 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.2, P/S 7.1, EV/EBITDA 18.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Getlink SE (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 1.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRPTF from its 52-week high?
Getlink SE trades at $21.90, at its 52-week high of $22.00 and 23% above the low of $17.76 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Getlink SE?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Canadian National Railway Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Getlink SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $21.90, calculated fair value $12.65 (−42%), Quality Score 63/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRPTF calculated?
We run Getlink SE through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Getlink SE itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $21.90. Our model-based fair value is $12.65, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Getlink SE right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.77 to $17.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Getlink SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The market capitalisation of Getlink SE is $11.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Getlink SE is 6.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Earnings per share at Getlink SE are $0.6800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The dividend yield of Getlink SE is 3.7% (payout 118%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The net margin of Getlink SE is 20.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Getlink SE is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Getlink SE is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
The operating margin of Getlink SE is 41.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Revenue at Getlink SE is growing +12.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Getlink SE (GRPTF)?
Earnings per share at Getlink SE are growing +46.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Getlink SE (GRPTF) carry?
The net debt of Getlink SE is €3.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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