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Growthpoint Properties Limited (GRT) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ZA · Market cap 58.8B ZAC

GP Growthpoint Properties Limited GRT · JSE
PriceR17.40
Fair ValueR18.70
Upside+7.5%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 38.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: Medium Range R17.22 – R34.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from R18.69 to R18.70 (+0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (R17.22 to R34.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R17.86 R7.31 Fair Value R18.70 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R7.31 – R17.86 · fair‑value band R17.22 – R34.24 · the R17.40 price screens below the R18.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Growthpoint Properties Limited (GRT) currently trades at R17.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R18.70, implying the stock looks roughly 7.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Growthpoint Properties Limited generated revenue of 13.4B ZAR at a net margin of 38.5%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at 61.3B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R17.22 (bear case) to R34.24 (bull case); at R17.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 7%, GRT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R16.77 R18.06 R20.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF R9.08 R21.52 74
Gordon GGM R13.53 R28.14 R44.64 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit R9.43 R24.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R6.82 R25.55 R47.97 41
10Y Revenue Exit R3.07 R16.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R14.35 R34.72 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R13.53 R28.14 R44.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage R13.53 R23.00 R29.53 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple R19.52 R26.03 R32.54 58
P/B Multiple R20.54 R27.39 R34.24 55
EV/EBIT R27.42 R41.50 R55.58 53
EV/EBITDA R20.74 R32.59 R44.44 54
EV/Revenue R4.80 R13.21 R21.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R9.94 R13.32 R19.87 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF R9.08 R21.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R16.77 R18.06 R20.50 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (R27.39) versus Growth DCF (R9.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 13.4B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin 38.5%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow 696M ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 64.7%
EPS (TTM) R1.51
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.9%
Net debt 61.3B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Growthpoint Properties Limited is an international property company that provides space to thrive incorporating innovative and sustainable property solutions.

Full company description

Growthpoint Properties Limited is an international property company that provides space to thrive incorporating innovative and sustainable property solutions. Growthpoint is the largest South African (SA) primary JSE-listed REIT with a quality portfolio of 492 properties across three major business units: Directly held " SA portfolio, Offshore investments, Third-party fund management business " Growthpoint Investment Partners (GIP). Growthpoint Properties Limited was incorporated on 12th October 1987 in South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Growthpoint Properties Limited reported revenue of R13.6B in FY2025 versus R13.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was R5.5B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.6B ZAR
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Revenue +0.8%/yr
FY21 R13.1B
FY22 R13.0B
FY23 R13.7B
FY24 R14.4B
FY25 R13.6B
Net income
FY21 −R497M
FY22 R7.9B
FY23 R2.4B
FY24 R1.3B
FY25 R5.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Growthpoint Properties Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRT

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 39% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 65% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.77× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 27 · sector 20
HEALTH 61 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 97

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Growthpoint Properties Limited (GRT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R18.70 versus a price of R17.40, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRT?
Our model-based fair value for Growthpoint Properties Limited is R18.70 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R17.40.
What is the quality score of GRT?
Growthpoint Properties Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Growthpoint Properties Limited (GRT)?
Growthpoint Properties Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.4B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GRT?
The net profit margin of Growthpoint Properties Limited is about 38.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Growthpoint Properties Limited pay a dividend?
Growthpoint Properties Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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