COV Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · FR · Market cap €5.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −0.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
- Our model range runs from €46.79 (bear) to €77.62 (bull), base €62.39. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €32.81 – €65.33 · fair‑value band €46.79 – €77.62 · the €52.05 price screens below the €62.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
COV (COV) currently trades at €52.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €62.39, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, COV generated revenue of €1.1B at a net margin of 64.5%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at €9.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €46.79 (bear case) to €77.62 (bull case); at €52.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 20%, COV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€75.56) versus DCF Models (€5.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Covivio invents the user experience of today and shapes the city of tomorrow. A real estate player preferably on a European scale, Covivio gets closer to end users, captures their aspirations, combines working, traveling, living, and co-sells living spaces.
Full company description
Covivio invents the user experience of today and shapes the city of tomorrow. A real estate player preferably on a European scale, Covivio gets closer to end users, captures their aspirations, combines working, traveling, living, and co-sells living spaces. Covivio, a leading European operator with 23.7 billion euros in assets, supports businesses and brands, hotels and territories in their challenges of attractiveness, transformation and responsible performance. Building well-being and lasting connections is Covivio's Raison d'être which expresses its role as as a responsible real estate operator towards all of its stakeholders: clients, shareholders and partners financiers, internal teams, communities, future generations. Furthermore, its lively approach to real estate opens its teams with exciting project prospects and career paths. Covivio was incorporated in 1963 in France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COV reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was €739M in FY2025, compounding −5.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $76.69 | $35.59 | -54% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
| Fibra Danhos DANHOS13 | 28.26 MXN | 49.89 MXN | +77% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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