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Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Geo Energy Resources Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Energy · US · ISIN SG2F24986083

Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Geo Energy Resources Limited

GRYRF · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $0.4500 · Undervalued (+23%)

!Quality 51/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +13.2 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

·0.82% dividend yield

!Narrow moat 27/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear $0.2400 to bull $0.5800 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 51/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range $0.1612 – $0.5049 · fair‑value band $0.2400 – $0.5800 · the $0.3647 price screens below the $0.4500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Geo Energy Resources Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining, production, and trading of coal. The company operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Coal Trading, and Mining Services. The Coal Mining segment engages in the production and sale of coal. The Coal Trading segment is involved in the purchase and sale of coal from third parties. The Mining Services segment provides mining contracting and project management services for mining activities conducted at third party mines. The company also engages in road and jetty infrastructure, and marine logistics. In addition, it engages in the power generation and general trading activities; construction and transportation services; and operates as a multimedia supplier, as well as offers business and management consultant services. The company operates in China, Indonesia, South Korea, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines. Geo Energy Resources Limited was founded in 2008 and is based in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF) currently trades at $0.3647, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4500, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.4500 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.3647 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.0800, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.2400 (bear) to $0.5800 (bull), the price of $0.3647 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Geo Energy Resources Limited reported revenue of $571M in FY2025 versus $642M in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $27.8M in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $650M · P/E ratio 36.5 · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 23%, GRYRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2400 Fair Value $0.4500 Bull $0.5800

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0049 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

EPV $0.1000 $0.1200 $0.1400 74

Residual Income $0.1900 $0.1900 $0.1800 74

FCF DCF $0.2500 $0.4000 $0.8400 73

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $0.2500 $0.4000 $0.8400 73

Owner Earnings $0.1200 $0.3400 $0.7500 67

5Y Revenue Exit $0.2200 $0.4400 $0.9100 65

5Y EBITDA Exit $0.2100 $0.4100 $0.8100 68

5Y P/E Exit $0.1400 $0.3500 $0.6400 64

10Y Revenue Exit $0.2200 $0.5700 $0.8000 63

10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2200 $0.5400 $1.08 61

10Y P/E Exit $0.1700 $0.4000 $0.7600 58

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.1100 $0.7400 $1.04 61

Lynch FV $0.2800 $0.4000 $0.5200 59

PEG = 1.0 $0.2800 $0.4000 $0.5200 55

EPV $0.1000 $0.1200 $0.1400 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.0900 $0.1200 66

DDM Multi-Stage $0.0500 $0.0800 $0.1000 65

Multiples

P/E Multiple $0.1600 $0.2200 $0.2700 63

P/S Multiple $0.2000 $0.2700 $0.3300 58

P/B Multiple $0.2000 $0.2700 $0.3300 55

EV/EBIT $0.1800 $0.2700 $0.3600 65

EV/EBITDA $0.1800 $0.2700 $0.3600 66

EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.3000 $0.4200 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1700 $0.2500 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $0.2200 $0.4300 $0.8000 72

Rev-Margin DCF $0.2300 $0.5200 $1.07 65

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.1900 $0.1900 $0.1800 74

ROIC Compounder $0.1000 $0.1200 $0.1400 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.3100 $0.4500 $0.5800 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 28

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 65

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 56

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 44

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 52

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 47

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 56

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 78

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+42.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−8.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+13.2%

Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.3%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

−18.6%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−19.4%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28% vs 1%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.38% → 11%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+5.7%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 100 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 51 · Above median

Fair Value upside −29% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median

Return on assets 2% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −42% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.56× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.5× · Priciest 25%

P/B 1.47× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 1.32× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 15.2× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
China Shenhua Energy Company 601088	¥47.51	¥32.14	−32%
PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN	12,350 IDR	4,727 IDR	−62%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT	₹3,060	₹891.11	−71%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225	¥26.05	¥28.66	+10%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188	¥21.38	¥9.98	−53%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA	₹426.40	₹464.01	+9%
533278 533278	₹425.60	₹541.91	+27%
China Coal Energy Company 601898	¥14.73	¥13.91	−6%
PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA	1,100 IDR	350.96 IDR	−68%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128	¥27.28	¥20.13	−26%

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Geo Energy Resources Limited · Fair Value
$0.4500 +19%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRYRF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Geo Energy Resources Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$0.4500</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+19%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geo Energy Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRYRF

Frequently asked questions

Is Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4500 versus a price of $0.3647, about +23% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of GRYRF?

Our model-based fair value for Geo Energy Resources Limited is $0.4500 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3647.

What is the quality score of GRYRF?

Geo Energy Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4500 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.5800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Geo Energy Resources Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $0.4500, about +23% upside versus a price of $0.3647 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.5800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Geo Energy Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $492M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).

Does Geo Energy Resources Limited pay a dividend?

Geo Energy Resources Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).

What growth is priced into Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Geo Energy Resources Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRYRF use?

Our models discount Geo Energy Resources Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Geo Energy Resources Limited that is +5.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Geo Energy Resources Limited grew +13.3 % a year. The price currently implies +5.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Geo Energy Resources Limited (+5.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.16 %: that much free cash flow Geo Energy Resources Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geo Energy Resources Limited it is $0.4500 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.3647. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Geo Energy Resources Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 13, 2026, GRYRF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.3647, fair value $0.4500, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of GRYRF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3647); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4500). For Geo Energy Resources Limited the two are $0.0853 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Geo Energy Resources Limited worth?

The market values Geo Energy Resources Limited at about $650M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.3647; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4500 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRYRF?

Our models span a range for Geo Energy Resources Limited: cautious scenario $0.2400, base $0.4500, optimistic $0.5800 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.3647). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of GRYRF?

Geo Energy Resources Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 12.0.

How solid is the balance sheet of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Geo Energy Resources Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is GRYRF from its 52-week high?

Geo Energy Resources Limited trades at $0.3647, about 28% below its 52-week high of $0.5049 and 55% above the low of $0.2357 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4500 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Geo Energy Resources Limited?

From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Geo Energy Resources Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.3647, calculated fair value $0.4500 (+23%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of GRYRF calculated?

We run Geo Energy Resources Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Geo Energy Resources Limited currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What should I pay attention to with Geo Energy Resources Limited right now?

Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.2400 to $0.5800) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Geo Energy Resources Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The market capitalisation of Geo Energy Resources Limited is $650M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 1.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The dividend yield of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 0.8% (payout 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The net margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 20.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

The operating margin of Geo Energy Resources Limited is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Revenue at Geo Energy Resources Limited is growing −42.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF)?

Earnings per share at Geo Energy Resources Limited are growing −74.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Geo Energy Resources Limited (GRYRF) carry?

The net debt of Geo Energy Resources Limited is $158M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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