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Great Southern Bancorp, Inc (GSBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $809M

GS Great Southern Bancorp, Inc logo Great Southern Bancorp, Inc GSBC · US
Price$80.65
Fair Value$84.70
Upside+5.0%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 31.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.30% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $63.52 – $105.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$82.02 $43.74 Fair Value $84.70 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $43.74 – $82.02 · fair‑value band $63.52 – $105.87 · the $80.65 price screens below the $84.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc (GSBC) currently trades at $80.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.70, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Great Southern Bancorp, Inc generated revenue of $229M at a net margin of 31.1%. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at $216M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $63.52 (bear case) to $105.87 (bull case); at $80.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 5%, GSBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $49.69 $55.06 $78.84 76
Gordon GGM $13.35 $24.06 $33.13 70
P/E Multiple $63.52 $84.70 $105.87 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.35 $24.06 $33.13 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.35 $21.98 $25.71 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $63.52 $84.70 $105.87 63
P/B Multiple $61.32 $81.76 $102.19 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $29.20 $39.13 $58.40 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $49.69 $55.06 $78.84 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($81.76) versus Dividend Discount ($21.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $229M
Net margin 31.1%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow $66.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.8
Operating margin 40.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $6.30
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net debt $216M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of financial services in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska and Arkansas.

Full company description

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of financial services in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska and Arkansas. The company's deposit products include regular savings accounts, checking accounts, money market accounts, fixed interest rate certificates with varying maturities, certificates of deposit, brokered certificates, and individual retirement accounts. Its loan portfolio comprises residential and commercial real estate loans, commercial business loans, construction loans, home improvement loans, and unsecured consumer loans, as well as secured consumer loans, such as automobile loans, boat loans, home equity loans, and loans secured by savings deposits. It also provides insurance and merchant banking services. Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $343M in FY2025 versus $237M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $71.0M in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$343M
Latest YoY
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (37Y)
+8.4%
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 $237M
FY22 $261M
FY23 $46.3M
FY24 $355M
FY25 $343M
Net income −1.2%/yr
FY21 $74.6M
FY22 $75.9M
FY23 $67.8M
FY24 $61.8M
FY25 $71.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Southern Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSBC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.53× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.88× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 46 · sector 41
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 49

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Great Southern Bancorp, Inc (GSBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.70 versus a price of $80.65, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GSBC?
Our model-based fair value for Great Southern Bancorp, Inc is $84.70 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $80.65.
What is the quality score of GSBC?
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc (GSBC)?
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $229M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GSBC?
The net profit margin of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc is about 31.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Great Southern Bancorp, Inc pay a dividend?
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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