Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares (GSIW) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $49.4M
Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares
GSIW · US
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price −45.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 448% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.82 to $3.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range $9.54 – $3,100 · fair‑value band $1.82 – $3.44 · the $15.09 price screens above the $2.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares (GSIW) currently trades at $15.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.75, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $8.1M at a net margin of -93.2%. It earns a return on equity of -56.4%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.82 (bear case) to $3.44 (bull case); at $15.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -82%, GSIW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when GSIW reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Garden Stage Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Hong Kong. It offers securities dealing and brokerage services; underwriting and placing services; investment advisory services; due diligence services; introduction and referral services; and asset management services, such as account and fund management services.
Full company description
Garden Stage Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Hong Kong. It offers securities dealing and brokerage services; underwriting and placing services; investment advisory services; due diligence services; introduction and referral services; and asset management services, such as account and fund management services. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Garden Stage Limited is a subsidiary of Oriental Moon Tree Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $5.4M in FY2025 versus $6.0M in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.3M in FY2025.
GSIW screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 452 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS | $214.23 | $138.97 | -35% |
| The Goldman Sachs Group GS | $1,037 | $756.89 | -27% |
| The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW | $109.34 | $66.17 | -39% |
| Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD | $94.91 | $30.94 | -67% |
| Macquarie Group MQG | A$260.08 | A$75.58 | -71% |
| CITIC Securities Company 600030 | ¥27.70 | ¥17.68 | -36% |
| Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 | ¥18.02 | ¥18.62 | +3% |
| East Money Information Co 300059 | ¥19.83 | ¥4.77 | -76% |
| CSC Financial Co 601066 | ¥25.70 | ¥14.17 | -45% |
| Huatai Securities Co 601688 | ¥19.39 | ¥19.26 | -1% |
Compare Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Discover undervalued stocks
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares (GSIW) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GSIW?
What is the quality score of GSIW?
What is the revenue of Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares (GSIW)?
What is the net profit margin of GSIW?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Garden Stage Limited Ordinary Shares and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.