Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Great Southern Mining Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 25, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0140 – A$0.0780 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0425 · the A$0.0250 price screens below the A$0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Great Southern Mining Limited primarily engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for gold, silver, nickel, copper, and other minerals. It holds a portfolio of projects located in Western Australia and Queensland. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Balcatta, Australia.
Stock analysis
Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) currently trades at A$0.0250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0425 (bull), the price of A$0.0250 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Great Southern Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$13.3K in FY2025 versus A$440 in FY2021, a compound +134.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$33.9M (≈ $23.8M) · P/S ratio 13.9 · Net margin 17.4% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.5% · Operating margin −53.8% · Revenue growth (YoY) +227% · Free cash flow −A$2.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 36%, GSN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0255Fair Value A$0.0340Bull A$0.0425
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−39.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +78.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−136,420.1% (2020) → −11,933.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Great Southern Mining Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Above median
Return on assets−8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−54% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth227% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.0250, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GSN?
Our model-based fair value for Great Southern Mining Ltd is A$0.0340 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0250.
What is the quality score of GSN?
Great Southern Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0340 (as of Jun 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0425. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Southern Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0340, about +36% upside versus a price of A$0.0250 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0425. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Southern Mining Ltd it is A$0.0340 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026), against a price of A$0.0250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great Southern Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 25, 2026, GSN trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0250, fair value A$0.0340, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0340). For Great Southern Mining Ltd the two are A$0.0090 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Southern Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Great Southern Mining Ltd at about A$33.9M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 25, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0250; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GSN?
Our models span a range for Great Southern Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0340, optimistic A$0.0425 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026, price A$0.0250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Southern Mining Ltd (as of Jun 25, 2026): return on equity 2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GSN from its 52-week high?
Great Southern Mining Ltd trades at A$0.0250, about 50% below its 52-week high of A$0.0500 and 56% above the low of A$0.0160 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Southern Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Southern Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 25, 2026: price A$0.0250, calculated fair value A$0.0340 (+36%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GSN calculated?
We run Great Southern Mining Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Great Southern Mining Ltd currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0250. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0340, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Southern Mining Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Great Southern Mining Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The market capitalisation of Great Southern Mining Ltd is A$33.9M (≈ $23.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great Southern Mining Ltd is 13.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The net margin of Great Southern Mining Ltd is 17.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Southern Mining Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Southern Mining Ltd is −16.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The operating margin of Great Southern Mining Ltd is −53.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Revenue at Great Southern Mining Ltd is growing +227% versus a year earlier (3y avg −39.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) generate?
The free cash flow of Great Southern Mining Ltd is −A$2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) hold?
Great Southern Mining Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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