Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Great Southern Mining Ltd stock A$0.02, price A$0.02, that is 23.5% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0140 – A$0.0780 · the A$0.0200 price screens above the A$0.0153 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Great Southern Mining Limited primarily engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for gold, silver, nickel, copper, and other minerals. It holds a portfolio of projects located in Western Australia and Queensland.
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The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Balcatta, Australia.
Stock analysis
Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) currently trades at A$0.0200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0153, 24% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of A$0.0100 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the A$0.0200 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Great Southern Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$2.4M in FY2026 versus A$59.6K in FY2022, a compound +152.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$277K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$23.2M (≈ $16.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 9.61 · Net margin 11.5% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.6% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$2.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) +227% · Free cash flow −A$1.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −24%, GSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0153Fair Value A$0.0153BullA$0.0153
Price A$0.0200 · Downside -23.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner EarningsA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010078
EPVA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010074
ROIC CompounderA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010072
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner EarningsA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010078
Earnings-Based
EPVA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010074
Multiples
P/E Multiplen/an/aA$0.010058
P/B MultipleA$0.0300A$0.0400A$0.050055
EV/EBITA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010066
EV/EBITDAA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010067
EV/RevenueA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010054
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010071
ROIC CompounderA$0.0100A$0.0100A$0.010072
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18,042.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.2%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−492,743.2% (2021) → 6.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
Compare Great Southern Mining Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Above median
Fair Value upside−23.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.6% · Above median
Return on assets1.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)11.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)227.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0153 versus a price of A$0.0200, about 24% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GSN?
Our model-based fair value for Great Southern Mining Ltd is A$0.0153 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0200.
What is the quality score of GSN?
Great Southern Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0153 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 9 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Southern Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0153, about 24% lower versus a price of A$0.0200 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Great Southern Mining Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Southern Mining Ltd it is A$0.0153 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0200. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit).
Is Great Southern Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, GSN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0200, fair value A$0.0153, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0153). For Great Southern Mining Ltd the two are A$0.0047 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Southern Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Great Southern Mining Ltd at about A$23.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0200; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0153 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Southern Mining Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 1.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GSN from its 52-week high?
Great Southern Mining Ltd trades at A$0.0200, about 60% below its 52-week high of A$0.0500 and 25% above the low of A$0.0160 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0153 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Southern Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Southern Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0200, calculated fair value A$0.0153 (−24%), Quality Score 41/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GSN calculated?
We run Great Southern Mining Ltd through 9 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0153 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Great Southern Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0200. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0153, about 24% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Southern Mining Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0153). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Great Southern Mining Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The market capitalisation of Great Southern Mining Ltd is A$23.2M (≈ $16.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great Southern Mining Ltd is 9.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The net margin of Great Southern Mining Ltd is 11.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Southern Mining Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Southern Mining Ltd is −11.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN)?
Revenue at Great Southern Mining Ltd is growing +227% versus a year earlier (3y avg +46.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) generate?
The free cash flow of Great Southern Mining Ltd is −A$1.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Great Southern Mining Ltd (GSN) hold?
Great Southern Mining Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026