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Greenland Technologies Holding (GTEC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $16.0M

GT Greenland Technologies Holding logo Greenland Technologies Holding GTEC · US
Price$0.5380
Fair Value$0.6375
Upside+18.5%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.4750 – $0.7916 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $0.4750 (bear) to $0.7916 (bull), base $0.6375. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.69 $0.5120 Fair Value $0.6375 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5120 – $11.69 · fair‑value band $0.4750 – $0.7916 · the $0.5380 price screens below the $0.6375 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Greenland Technologies Holding (GTEC) currently trades at $0.5380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6375, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Greenland Technologies Holding generated revenue of $90.7M at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 23.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at $4.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4750 (bear case) to $0.7916 (bull case); at $0.5380, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 18%, GTEC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.34 $7.94 $9.71 80
Residual Income $2.58 $2.61 $2.45 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.71 $6.37 $8.18 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.27 $8.04 $10.09 38
Owner Earnings $2.92 $3.69 $4.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.71 $6.25 $8.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.26 $7.21 $9.35 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.81 $6.43 $8.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.31 $6.68 $8.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.67 $7.24 $9.06 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.43 $6.78 $8.22 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.63 $3.80 $4.88 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.6500 $0.9200 $1.20 46
EPV $1.71 $1.88 $2.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7500 $1.11 $1.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7500 $1.02 $1.25 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.78 $5.04 $6.30 63
P/S Multiple $3.06 $4.08 $5.10 58
P/B Multiple $3.06 $4.08 $5.10 55
EV/EBIT $4.99 $6.54 $8.10 53
EV/EBITDA $5.03 $6.60 $8.18 54
EV/Revenue $3.65 $5.08 $6.51 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.78 $2.38 $3.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.34 $7.94 $9.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.71 $6.37 $8.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.58 $2.61 $2.45 76
ROIC Compounder $1.71 $1.88 $2.01 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.85 $4.08 $5.30 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($6.68) versus Dividend Discount ($1.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $90.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.4%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow $15.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.4
More key figures
Operating margin -0.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) +61.1%
Net debt $4.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and sells components and products for material handling industries in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and sells components and products for material handling industries in the United States and internationally. The company provides transmission products, such as transmission systems and integrated powertrains primarily for electric forklift trucks; electric industrial heavy machinery, including electric wheeled front loader, electric excavator, and electric lithium forklifts; and provides charging solutions. Its products are used in manufacturing and logistic applications, such as factories, workshops, warehouses, fulfilment centers, shipyards, and seaports. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in East Windsor, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Greenland Technologies Holding reported revenue of $90.7M in FY2025 versus $98.8M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9M in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$90.7M
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 $98.8M
FY22 $90.8M
FY23 $90.3M
FY24 $83.9M
FY25 $90.7M
Net income −5.8%/yr
FY21 $6.3M
FY22 $746K
FY23 −$15.9M
FY24 $14.1M
FY25 $4.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greenland Technologies Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTEC

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 58 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Greenland Technologies Holding (GTEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6375 versus a price of $0.5380, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTEC?
Our model-based fair value for Greenland Technologies Holding is $0.6375 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.5380.
What is the quality score of GTEC?
Greenland Technologies Holding has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Greenland Technologies Holding (GTEC)?
Greenland Technologies Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $90.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GTEC?
The net profit margin of Greenland Technologies Holding is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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