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Chart Industries, Inc (GTLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $10.0B

CI Chart Industries, Inc logo Chart Industries, Inc GTLS · US
Price$209.90
Fair Value$34.52
Upside-83.6%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range $15.70 – $34.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $45.21 to $34.52 (−23.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($34.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($15.70 to $34.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$239.47 $102.94 Fair Value $34.52 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $102.94 – $239.47 · fair‑value band $15.70 – $34.52 · the $209.90 price screens above the $34.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Chart Industries, Inc (GTLS) currently trades at $209.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.52, implying the stock looks roughly 83.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chart Industries, Inc generated revenue of $4.1B at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.9%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.70 (bear case) to $34.52 (bull case); at $209.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -84%, GTLS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $57.92 $173.37 80
Residual Income $46.75 $44.18 $33.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF $41.69 $155.51 $319.93 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.37 $175.59 38
Owner Earnings $6.03 $89.60 $257.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit $41.69 $157.49 $342.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $80.85 $244.99 $489.19 41
10Y Revenue Exit $22.71 $136.89 $316.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $54.66 $206.76 $480.89 37
10Y P/E Exit $23.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.01 $38.31 $53.55 54
Lynch FV $11.08 $15.84 $20.59 50
PEG = 1.0 $11.08 $15.84 $20.59 46
EPV $49.06 $68.37 $85.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.22 $10.85 $17.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.22 $9.15 $11.39 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.25 $17.67 $22.09 63
P/S Multiple $11.27 $15.02 $18.78 58
P/B Multiple $11.27 $15.02 $18.78 55
EV/EBIT $115.69 $176.54 $237.38 53
EV/EBITDA $122.29 $185.33 $248.37 54
EV/Revenue $56.21 $108.93 $161.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $33.74 $45.21 $67.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $57.92 $173.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF $41.69 $155.51 $319.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $46.75 $44.18 $33.17 76
ROIC Compounder $49.06 $69.69 $113.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.37 $21.95 $28.54 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($136.89) versus Dividend Discount ($9.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.7%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity -0.9%
Free cash flow $203M FY2025
Operating margin 6.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.03
EPS growth (YoY) -35.2%
Net debt $3.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chart Industries, Inc. engages in the designing, engineering, and manufacturing of process technologies and equipment for the gas and liquid molecules. It operates through Cryo Tank Solutions, Heat Transfer Systems, Specialty Products, and Repair, Service & Leasing segments.

Full company description

Chart Industries, Inc. engages in the designing, engineering, and manufacturing of process technologies and equipment for the gas and liquid molecules. It operates through Cryo Tank Solutions, Heat Transfer Systems, Specialty Products, and Repair, Service & Leasing segments. The company provides microbulk and mobile equipment; bulk and packaged gas cryogenic solutions for the storage, distribution, vaporization, and application of industrial gases; cryogenic trailers, ISO containers, bulk storage tanks, loading facilities, and regasification equipment for delivering liquefied natural gas (LNG) into virtual pipeline applications; and large vacuum insulated storage tanks as equipment for purchasers of standard liquefaction plants. It also offers natural gas processing solutions; process technology, liquefaction capabilities, and critical equipment for the LNG, include small to mid-scale facilities, floating LNG applications, and large base-load export facilities; brazed aluminum heat exchangers, Core-in-Kettle heat exchangers, cold boxes, pressure vessels, fans, and pipe works; and air cooled heat exchangers and axial cooling fans for the heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), power, and refining applications. In addition, the company provides hydrogen solutions; compressors and heat exchangers, including aluminum, air cooled, and shell and tubes to mobile equipment and fueling stations; solutions, equipment, aftermarket services, and software for applications; water treatment solutions serve both clean and wastewater applications; and various organic and inorganic contaminants. Further, it offers extended warranties, plant start-up, parts, 24/7 support, monitoring and process optimization, repair, maintenance, spares, and upgrade services; and installation, retrofitting and refurbishment, as well as equipment leasing solutions. Chart Industries, Inc. was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chart Industries, Inc reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +34.1%/yr. Reported net income was $42.3M in FY2025, compounding −8.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.3B
Latest YoY
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+38.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+11.9%
Revenue +34.1%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $3.4B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $4.3B
Net income −8.0%/yr
FY21 $59.1M
FY22 $24.0M
FY23 $47.3M
FY24 $219M
FY25 $42.3M

GTLS screens 84% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chart Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTLS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.10× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 49.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.62× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 45 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chart Industries, Inc (GTLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.52 versus a price of $209.90, about −84% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GTLS?
Our model-based fair value for Chart Industries, Inc is $34.52 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $209.90.
What is the quality score of GTLS?
Chart Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chart Industries, Inc (GTLS)?
Chart Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GTLS?
The net profit margin of Chart Industries, Inc is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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