Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp C$0.37, price C$0.57, upside -35.1%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1900 – C$0.5700 · fair‑value band C$0.1800 – C$0.8600 · the C$0.5700 price screens above the C$0.3700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp. invests in commercial real estate properties in western Canada. It primarily focuses on the acquisition, management, and development of grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company owns grocery-anchored shopping centers located in Whitecourt, Alberta, and St. Paul, Alberta.
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Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp. invests in commercial real estate properties in western Canada. It primarily focuses on the acquisition, management, and development of grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company owns grocery-anchored shopping centers located in Whitecourt, Alberta, and St. Paul, Alberta. Gulf & Pacific Equities was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF) currently trades at C$0.5700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3700, implying the stock looks roughly 54.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of C$0.6800 per share, and 4 of the 10 models we run sit above the C$0.5700 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at C$0.1300, and 6 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.1800 (bear) to C$0.8600 (bull), the price of C$0.5700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp reported revenue of C$4.6M in FY2025 versus C$4.0M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −C$364K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$12.2M (≈ $8.6M) · P/E ratio 57.0 · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0100 · Net margin −7.9% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 31.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −35%, GUF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.1800Fair Value C$0.3700Bull C$0.8600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
37.4% (2020) → 36.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.9% a year for the price.
Compare Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−35% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.11× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)57.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.83× · Pricier than median
P/FCF5.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA19.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)24· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)45· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3700 versus a price of C$0.5700, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GUF?
Our model-based fair value for Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is C$0.3700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.5700.
What is the quality score of GUF?
Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1800, optimistic scenario C$0.8600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3700, about −35% upside versus a price of C$0.5700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1800, optimistic scenario C$0.8600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$4.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +11.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GUF use?
Our models discount Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp that is +11.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies +11.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (+11.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.21 %: that much free cash flow Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp it is C$0.3700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$0.5700. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GUF trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.5700, fair value C$0.3700, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.5700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3700). For Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp the two are C$0.2000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp worth?
The market values Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp at about C$12.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$0.5700; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GUF?
Our models span a range for Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp: cautious scenario C$0.1800, base C$0.3700, optimistic C$0.8600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$0.5700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GUF?
Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 57.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.3700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 19.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.3%, debt of 1.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GUF from its 52-week high?
Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp trades at C$0.5700, at its 52-week high of C$0.5700 and 50% above the low of C$0.3800 (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$0.5700, calculated fair value C$0.3700 (−35%), Quality Score 54/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GUF calculated?
We run Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.3700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was C$0.5700. Our model-based fair value is C$0.3700, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp right now?
The model range is unusually wide (C$0.1800 to C$0.8600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The market capitalisation of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is C$12.2M (≈ $8.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is 2.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Earnings per share at Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp are C$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 57.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The net margin of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is −7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
The operating margin of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is 31.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Revenue at Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF)?
Earnings per share at Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp are growing −69.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp (GUF) carry?
The net debt of Gulf & Pacific Equities Corp is C$24.2M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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