Gullewa Limited (GUL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$14.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from A$0.1260 to A$0.1002 (−20.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0761). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0346 – A$0.1120 · fair‑value band A$0.0761 – A$0.1198 · the A$0.0670 price screens below the A$0.1002 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Gullewa Limited (GUL) currently trades at A$0.0670, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1002, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gullewa Limited generated revenue of A$4.5M at a net margin of 36.4%. Revenue declined 26.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0761 (bear case) to A$0.1198 (bull case); at A$0.0670, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 50%, GUL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.3800) versus Multiples (A$0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gullewa Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and mining of mineral properties in Australia. The company operates in three segments: Exploration and Evaluation; Property Holding; and Investments. It explores for gold and base metal deposits.
Full company description
Gullewa Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and mining of mineral properties in Australia. The company operates in three segments: Exploration and Evaluation; Property Holding; and Investments. It explores for gold and base metal deposits. The company is also involved in land subdivision activity; acquires investment properties for development; and invests in shares of listed and unlisted entities, as well as involves in mineral royalties. Gullewa Limited was incorporated in 1953 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gullewa Limited reported revenue of A$4.8M in FY2025 versus A$3.2M in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.9M in FY2025, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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