Guoco Group (GULRY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.5B
Guoco Group
GULRY · US
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from $6.72 to $6.76 (+0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $12.00 – $21.48 · fair‑value band $5.07 – $8.46 · the $15.45 price screens above the $6.76 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Guoco Group (GULRY) currently trades at $15.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.76, implying the stock looks roughly 56.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guoco Group generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 18.2%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at $4.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.07 (bear case) to $8.46 (bull case); at $15.45, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -56%, GULRY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Guoco Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the principal investment, property development and investment, hospitality and leisure, and financial service businesses. The company offers debt, equity, and direct investments; treasury operations; and investment advisory and management services with trading and strategic investments in global capital markets. It also develops residential and commercial properties; holds properties for rental; owns, leases, or manages hotels under the Clermont and Thistle brands; operates gaming and leisure businesses; and holds casino and other gaming licences, and concession. In addition, the company provides commercial, consumer, Islamic, and investment banking services; and life and general insurance, Takaful insurance, fund management and unit trust, corporate advisory, and stock broking services. Further, it offers royalty entitlement of Bass Strait's oil and gas production; manufactures, markets, and distributes health …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guoco Group reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was $513M in FY2025, compounding +12.4%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.