Greenvale Energy Ltd (GVLMF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $15.5M
Greenvale Energy Ltd
GVLMF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 47 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0170). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0085 to $0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0150 – $0.2700 · fair‑value band $0.0085 – $0.0170 · the $0.0200 price screens above the $0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
Analysis
Greenvale Energy Ltd (GVLMF) currently trades at $0.0200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $25.2K. Revenue grew 179.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.4M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0085 (bear case) to $0.0170 (bull case); at $0.0200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -15%, GVLMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Greenvale Energy Ltd, an exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for uranium, torbanite, and geothermal assets.
Full company description
Greenvale Energy Ltd, an exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for uranium, torbanite, and geothermal assets. The company holds interests in the early-stage uranium exploration projects, including the Douglas River Project, Henbury Project, and Elkedra Project in the Northern Territory. It also has interests in the Oasis advanced-exploration project in Queensland, as well as the Alpha Torbanite and Geothermal projects in Queensland. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2014 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greenvale Energy Ltd reported revenue of $0 in FY2018 versus $0 in FY2014. Reported net income was −$902K in FY2025.
GVLMF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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