Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Greenwing Resources Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.11, upside -59.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0240 – A$0.6000 · fair‑value band A$0.0340 – A$0.0595 · the A$0.1050 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Greenwing Resources Ltd engages in the exploration, development, and maintenance of its graphite mines, polymetallic projects, and lithium assets in Madagascar, Australia, and Argentina. The company operates through the Graphite Mining and Exploration " Lithium segments. It primarily explores for lithium and graphite.
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Greenwing Resources Ltd engages in the exploration, development, and maintenance of its graphite mines, polymetallic projects, and lithium assets in Madagascar, Australia, and Argentina. The company operates through the Graphite Mining and Exploration " Lithium segments. It primarily explores for lithium and graphite. The company was formerly known as Bass Metals Limited and changed its name to Greenwing Resources Ltd in July 2021. Greenwing Resources Ltd was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) currently trades at A$0.1050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 147.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.1400 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$0.1050 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0300, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0340 (bear) to A$0.0595 (bull), the price of A$0.1050 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Greenwing Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$57.2K in FY2022 versus A$1.3M in FY2018, a compound −54.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.6M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap A$40.7M (≈ $28.6M) · P/E ratio 5.3 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Return on equity 18.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.3% · Free cash flow −A$1.3M · Net cash A$405K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 275% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −60%, GW1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0340Fair Value A$0.0425Bull A$0.0595
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−65.7%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
Compare Greenwing Resources Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Below median
Fair Value upside−60% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets−4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)5.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.32× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)76· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0425 versus a price of A$0.1050, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GW1?
Our model-based fair value for Greenwing Resources Ltd is A$0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1050.
What is the quality score of GW1?
Greenwing Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0595. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greenwing Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0425, about −60% upside versus a price of A$0.1050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0595. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greenwing Resources Ltd it is A$0.0425 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1050. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greenwing Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GW1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1050, fair value A$0.0425, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GW1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0425). For Greenwing Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0625 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greenwing Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Greenwing Resources Ltd at about A$40.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GW1?
Our models span a range for Greenwing Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0340, base A$0.0425, optimistic A$0.0595 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GW1?
Greenwing Resources Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0425 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greenwing Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 18.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GW1 from its 52-week high?
Greenwing Resources Ltd trades at A$0.1050, about 5% below its 52-week high of A$0.1100 and 275% above the low of A$0.0280 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greenwing Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greenwing Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1050, calculated fair value A$0.0425 (−60%), Quality Score 31/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GW1 calculated?
We run Greenwing Resources Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0425, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Greenwing Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1050. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0425, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greenwing Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Greenwing Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
The market capitalisation of Greenwing Resources Ltd is A$40.7M (≈ $28.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Earnings per share at Greenwing Resources Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greenwing Resources Ltd is 18.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greenwing Resources Ltd is −10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) generate?
The free cash flow of Greenwing Resources Ltd is −A$1.3M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) hold?
Greenwing Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$405K net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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