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Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Greenwing Resources Ltd stock A$0.05, price A$0.08, that is 41.5% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000166613

GR Greenwing Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Greenwing Resources Ltd

GW1 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 42% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Fair value A$0.0491 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 36/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −65.7 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.6000 A$0.0240 Fair Value A$0.0491 Mar 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0240 – A$0.6000 · fair‑value band A$0.0402 – A$0.0581 · the A$0.0840 price screens above the A$0.0491 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Greenwing Resources Ltd engages in the exploration, development, and maintenance of its graphite mines, polymetallic projects, and lithium assets in Madagascar, Australia, and Argentina. The company operates through the Graphite Mining and Exploration " Lithium segments.

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It primarily explores for lithium and graphite. The company was formerly known as Bass Metals Limited and changed its name to Greenwing Resources Ltd in July 2021. Greenwing Resources Ltd was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) currently trades at A$0.0840, while our estimate is A$0.0491, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0402 (bear) to A$0.0581 (bull), the price of A$0.0840 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Greenwing Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$57.2K in FY2022 versus A$1.3M in FY2018, a compound −54.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$44.2M (≈ $30.4M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.3% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −A$2.4M · Net cash A$2.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −42%, GW1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0402 Fair Value A$0.0491 Bull A$0.0581
Price A$0.0840 · Downside -41.5%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 83
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 60
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 76
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 81
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−65.7%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12,540.6% (2017) → −5,638.8% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GW1 screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −41.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs GW1
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs GW1
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs GW1
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs GW1
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs GW1
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs GW1
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs GW1
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs GW1
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs GW1
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs GW1

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Greenwing Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greenwing Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GW1

Frequently asked questions

Is Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0491 versus a price of A$0.0840, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GW1?
Our estimate for Greenwing Resources Ltd is A$0.0491 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0840.
What is the quality score of GW1?
Greenwing Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0491 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0402, optimistic scenario A$0.0581. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Greenwing Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0491, about 42% lower versus a price of A$0.0840 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0402, optimistic scenario A$0.0581. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greenwing Resources Ltd it is A$0.0491 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0840.
Is Greenwing Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, GW1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0840, fair value A$0.0491, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GW1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0840); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0491). For Greenwing Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0349 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greenwing Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Greenwing Resources Ltd at about A$44.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0840; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0491 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GW1?
Our models span a range for Greenwing Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0402, base A$0.0491, optimistic A$0.0581 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0840). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greenwing Resources Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −16.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GW1 from its 52-week high?
Greenwing Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0840, about 30% below its 52-week high of A$0.1200 and 190% above the low of A$0.0290 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0491 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greenwing Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greenwing Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0840, calculated fair value A$0.0491 (−42%), Quality Score 36/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Greenwing Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0840. Our estimate is A$0.0491, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greenwing Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0581). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Greenwing Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
The market capitalisation of Greenwing Resources Ltd is A$44.2M (≈ $30.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
Earnings per share at Greenwing Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greenwing Resources Ltd is −16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greenwing Resources Ltd is −9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) generate?
The free cash flow of Greenwing Resources Ltd is −A$2.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Greenwing Resources Ltd (GW1) hold?
Greenwing Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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