Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Global Water Resources Inc $1.57, price $8.08, upside -80.5%, quality 18 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.61 – $18.06 · fair‑value band $1.11 – $1.96 · the $8.08 price screens above the $1.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Global Water Resources, Inc., a water resource management company, owns, operates, and manages regulated water, wastewater, and recycled water systems in metropolitan Phoenix and Tucson, Arizona. It serves approximately 121,000 people in approximately 40,000 homes. Global Water Resources, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.
Stock analysis
Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS) currently trades at $8.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.57, implying the stock looks roughly 413.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $2.83 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the $8.08 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.5400, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.11 (bear) to $1.96 (bull), the price of $8.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Global Water Resources Inc reported revenue of $55.8M in FY2025 versus $41.9M in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was $3.0M in FY2025, compounding −4.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $219M · P/E ratio 101.0 · P/S ratio 5.36 · EPS (TTM) $0.0800 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −81%, GWRS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.11Fair Value $1.57Bull $1.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−0.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs −27%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 13%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (83 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Global Water Resources Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 65 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score18 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.50× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)101.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.53× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.87× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA15.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.89× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)34· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)25· sector 66
DIVIDEND (yield)74· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Water Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GWRS
Frequently asked questions
Is Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.57 versus a price of $8.08, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GWRS?
Our model-based fair value for Global Water Resources Inc is $1.57 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.08.
What is the quality score of GWRS?
Global Water Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.57 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.11, optimistic scenario $1.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Global Water Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.57, about −81% upside versus a price of $8.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.11, optimistic scenario $1.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Global Water Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $56.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Global Water Resources Inc pay a dividend?
Global Water Resources Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Global Water Resources Inc it is $1.57 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $8.08. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Global Water Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GWRS trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.08, fair value $1.57, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GWRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.57). For Global Water Resources Inc the two are $6.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Global Water Resources Inc worth?
The market values Global Water Resources Inc at about $219M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $8.08; our models calculate a fair value of $1.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GWRS?
Our models span a range for Global Water Resources Inc: cautious scenario $1.11, base $1.57, optimistic $1.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $8.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GWRS?
Global Water Resources Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 101.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.9, P/B 2.5, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 15.5.
What is the PEG ratio of GWRS?
The PEG ratio of Global Water Resources Inc is 2.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Global Water Resources Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 1.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GWRS from its 52-week high?
Global Water Resources Inc trades at $8.08, about 24% below its 52-week high of $10.70 and 22% above the low of $6.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Global Water Resources Inc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, SBS, Essential Utilities, Inc, Guangdong Investment Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Global Water Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $8.08, calculated fair value $1.57 (−81%), Quality Score 18/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GWRS calculated?
We run Global Water Resources Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Global Water Resources Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.08. Our model-based fair value is $1.57, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Global Water Resources Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS) come from?
Earnings per share at Global Water Resources Inc grew −22.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.1 %, EBIT margin −16.1 %, tax rate −2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Global Water Resources Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The market capitalisation of Global Water Resources Inc is $219M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Global Water Resources Inc is 5.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Earnings per share at Global Water Resources Inc are $0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 101.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The dividend yield of Global Water Resources Inc is 3.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The net margin of Global Water Resources Inc is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Global Water Resources Inc is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Global Water Resources Inc is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
The operating margin of Global Water Resources Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Revenue at Global Water Resources Inc is growing +6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)?
Earnings per share at Global Water Resources Inc are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS) generate?
The free cash flow of Global Water Resources Inc is −$47.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS) carry?
The net debt of Global Water Resources Inc is $134M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026