PT Gozco Plantations Tbk, (GZCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 867B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +24.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (183.50 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (183.50 IDR to 387.39 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 394.00 IDR · fair‑value band 183.50 IDR – 387.39 IDR · the 177.00 IDR price screens below the 300.33 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Gozco Plantations Tbk, (GZCO) currently trades at 177.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 300.33 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 69.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Gozco Plantations Tbk, generated revenue of 797B IDR at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 35.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at 250B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 183.50 IDR (bear case) to 387.39 IDR (bull case); at 177.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 70%, GZCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (303.20 IDR) versus Growth DCF (71.65 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Gozco Plantations Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes crude palm oil and palm kernel in Indonesia. The company engages in the planting of palms; and production of fresh fruit bunches. It is also involved in oil palm plantation; trading; and services related to agrobusiness and agro-industries.
Full company description
PT Gozco Plantations Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes crude palm oil and palm kernel in Indonesia. The company engages in the planting of palms; and production of fresh fruit bunches. It is also involved in oil palm plantation; trading; and services related to agrobusiness and agro-industries. The company was formerly known as PT Surya Gemilang Sentosa and changed its name to PT Gozco Plantations Tbk in January 2007. PT Gozco Plantations Tbk was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Gozco Plantations Tbk, reported revenue of 873B IDR in FY2025 versus 707B IDR in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 105B IDR in FY2025, compounding +67.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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