Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd $0.81, price $0.29, upside +180.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2900 – $24.84 · fair‑value band $0.7088 – $0.9155 · the $0.2900 price screens below the $0.8144 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells residential and commercial properties in the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Australia, the United Kingdom, Cambodia, and South Korea. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, and All Other segments.
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Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells residential and commercial properties in the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Australia, the United Kingdom, Cambodia, and South Korea. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, and All Other segments. The company engages in the investment in and development of properties, including hotels, office buildings, shopping malls, theme parks, and other retail properties; provision of property management and leasing; operation and management of hotels and a theme park; and operation of sport, diet, healthcare, culture and entertainment, and business centers, as well as a football club. It also operates an offline exhibition, a trading complex, and an online ecological industry operation platform; and provides product, channel promotion, and supply chain platform services. In addition, the company provides senior living services, including health, leisure, routine, catering, and property management services, as well as special services that include car, purchasing, ordering, tourism, and hot spring services; and medical care services, such as prevention and healthcare, health assessment and management, diagnosis, treatment, and rehabilitation services. Further, it provides planning and designing, supervision, construction, landscaping, electrical and service installation, and interior decoration services. Additionally, the company engages in the installation of electromechanical and crane equipment, fire-fighting facilities, intelligent construction, power supply, and distribution projects. Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR (GZUHY) currently trades at $0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8144, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.7088 (bear) to $0.9155 (bull), the price of $0.2900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of 10.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 76.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −38.7%/yr. Reported net income was −16.0B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $173M · EPS (TTM) $−12.95 · Net margin −148% · Return on equity −90.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% · Operating margin −144% · Revenue (TTM) 10.9B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +48.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 87% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 181%, GZUHY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.7088Fair Value $0.8144Bull $0.9155
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
24.1% (2019) → −71.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside+142.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−150.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−144.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth48.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GZUHY
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8144 versus a price of $0.2900, about +181% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GZUHY?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is $0.8144 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2900.
What is the quality score of GZUHY?
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8144 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7088, optimistic scenario $0.9155. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8144, about +181% upside versus a price of $0.2900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.7088, optimistic scenario $0.9155. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR it is $0.8144 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2900. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GZUHY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2900, fair value $0.8144, a gap of about +181% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GZUHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8144). For Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR the two are $0.5244 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR at about $173M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2900; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8144 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GZUHY?
Our models span a range for Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $0.7088, base $0.8144, optimistic $0.9155 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GZUHY from its 52-week high?
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR trades at $0.2900, about 87% below its 52-week high of $2.28 and at the low of $0.2900 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8144 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2900, calculated fair value $0.8144 (+181%), Quality Score 40/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GZUHY calculated?
We run Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8144, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.2900. Our model-based fair value is $0.8144, about +181% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.7088). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
The market capitalisation of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is $173M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Earnings per share at Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR are $−12.95. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
The net margin of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is −148% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is −90.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
The operating margin of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is −144% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Revenue at Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is growing +48.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY)?
Earnings per share at Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR are growing −59.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is 1.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd (GZUHY) carry?
The net debt of Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ADR is 96.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 63.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026