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Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Haitian International Holdings $4.90, price $3.00, upside +63.3%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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HI
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Haitian International Holdings
HAIIF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $4.90 · Strongly undervalued (+63.3%)
✓Quality 61/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.03 – $3.11 · fair‑value band $3.05 – $6.55 · the $3.00 price screens below the $4.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Haitian International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of plastic injection molding machines and related products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers plastic machinery under the Haitian and Zhafir names.
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Haitian International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of plastic injection molding machines and related products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers plastic machinery under the Haitian and Zhafir names. The company is also involved in the trading of plastic machinery and related accessories; and sale of software for plastic injection molding machines. It serves automotive, packaging, medical, 3C electronics, logistics, consumer goods, and home appliance industries. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Kwai Fong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF) currently trades at $3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.90, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $5.25 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $3.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.44, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.05 (bear) to $6.55 (bull), the price of $3.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Haitian International Holdings reported revenue of 17.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 16.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.8B · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) $0.3000 · Net margin 18.6% · Return on equity 15.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% · Operating margin 18.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 63%, HAIIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.05
Fair Value $4.90
Bull $6.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.79
$4.40
$6.96
79
Growth DCF
$2.79
$4.31
$6.66
77
Owner Earnings
$3.17
$5.03
$7.98
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.79
$4.40
$6.96
79
Owner Earnings
$3.17
$5.03
$7.98
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$2.51
$3.94
$5.82
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$3.39
$5.68
$8.48
74
5Y P/E Exit
$4.06
$7.01
$10.28
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$2.52
$3.87
$5.80
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$3.15
$5.09
$7.89
67
10Y P/E Exit
$3.58
$6.02
$9.31
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.10
$8.35
$11.35
64
Lynch FV
$2.07
$2.96
$3.85
61
PEG = 1.0
$2.07
$2.96
$3.85
57
EPV
$2.92
$3.33
$3.69
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$4.86
$6.48
$8.11
63
P/S Multiple
$2.49
$3.32
$4.15
58
P/B Multiple
$3.94
$5.25
$6.56
55
EV/EBIT
$4.58
$6.00
$7.41
66
EV/EBITDA
$4.06
$5.31
$6.55
67
EV/Revenue
$2.42
$3.32
$4.22
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.08
$1.44
$2.16
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.79
$4.31
$6.66
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$2.51
$3.92
$5.67
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.09
$2.63
$3.90
75
ROIC Compounder
$3.15
$4.02
$5.13
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.65
$5.22
$6.79
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
61/100
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Profitability
51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.5% a year for the price and +5.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+7.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.2%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 782 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $950.49 | $142.61 | −85% |
| SIE SIE | €271.90 | €150.42 | −45% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $433.27 | $173.12 | −60% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $970.37 | $494.81 | −49% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $155.10 | $62.54 | −60% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $257.28 | $153.33 | −40% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $516.57 | $359.11 | −30% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $250.74 | $125.77 | −50% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $442.45 | $139.31 | −69% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 362.00 | kr 193.59 | −47% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.90 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $3.00, about +63% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HAIIF?
Our model-based fair value for Haitian International Holdings is $4.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $3.00.
What is the quality score of HAIIF?
Haitian International Holdings has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.05, optimistic scenario $6.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haitian International Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.90, about +63% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $3.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.05, optimistic scenario $6.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Haitian International Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Haitian International Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by +4.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HAIIF use?
Our models discount Haitian International Holdings at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Haitian International Holdings that is +4.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Haitian International Holdings grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies +4.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Haitian International Holdings (+4.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.84 %: that much free cash flow Haitian International Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haitian International Holdings it is $4.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Haitian International Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HAIIF trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.00, fair value $4.90, a gap of about +63% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HAIIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.90). For Haitian International Holdings the two are $1.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haitian International Holdings worth?
The market values Haitian International Holdings at about $4.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.00; our models calculate a fair value of $4.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HAIIF?
Our models span a range for Haitian International Holdings: cautious scenario $3.05, base $4.90, optimistic $6.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HAIIF?
Haitian International Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.90 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haitian International Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HAIIF from its 52-week high?
Haitian International Holdings trades at $3.00, about 4% below its 52-week high of $3.11 and 11% above the low of $2.70 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haitian International Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haitian International Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.00, calculated fair value $4.90 (+63%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HAIIF calculated?
We run Haitian International Holdings through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Haitian International Holdings currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $3.00. Our model-based fair value is $4.90, about +63% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haitian International Holdings right now?
Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($3.05 to $6.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Haitian International Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The market capitalisation of Haitian International Holdings is $4.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haitian International Holdings is 1.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Earnings per share at Haitian International Holdings are $0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The net margin of Haitian International Holdings is 18.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haitian International Holdings is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haitian International Holdings is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
The operating margin of Haitian International Holdings is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Revenue at Haitian International Holdings is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haitian International Holdings (HAIIF)?
Earnings per share at Haitian International Holdings are growing +1.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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