Harleysville Financial Corporation (HARL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $103M

A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
• Our model range runs from $25.93 (bear) to $43.22 (bull), base $34.57. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.75 – $31.75 · fair‑value band $25.93 – $43.22 · the $31.20 price screens below the $34.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Harleysville Financial Corporation (HARL) currently trades at $31.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.57, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Harleysville Financial Corporation generated revenue of $33.3M at a net margin of 35.7%. Revenue grew 31.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. Net debt stands at $147M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.93 (bear case) to $43.22 (bull case); at $31.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 11%, HARL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($40.32) versus Growth DCF ($1.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Harleysville Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Harleysville Bank that provides banking products and services in Pennsylvania. The company offers various deposit products, including savings, money market, and checking accounts, as well as certificates of deposits.

Full company description

Harleysville Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Harleysville Bank that provides banking products and services in Pennsylvania. The company offers various deposit products, including savings, money market, and checking accounts, as well as certificates of deposits. It also provides loan products, such as mortgage, home equity, savings account, business term, and commercial real estate loans, as well as line of credit. In addition, the company offers business banking services comprising priority online banking, positive pay fraud prevention, business bill payment, mobile banking, access 24 telephone banking, business debit mastercard, priority remote deposit, automated clearing house processing, sweep account, zero balance account, other cash management, and employee services. Further, it provides investment services, such as financial consultation, cash and wealth management, education planning, investment strategy, insurance, retirement and estate planning, financial and goal planning, and asset allocation services, as well as a range of products, such as fixed and variable annuities, mutual funds, life insurances, stocks and bonds, tax-advantaged investments, long-term care insurances, disability insurances, retirement plans/individual retirement accounts, wrap accounts, and unit investment trusts. Additionally, the company offers online banking and bill pay; mobile banking; debit card; tuition rewards; and telephone banking and direct deposit. The company was formerly known as Harleysville Savings Financial Corporation and changed its name to Harleysville Financial Corporation in May 2017. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Harleysville, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Harleysville Financial Corporation reported revenue of $29.7M in FY2025 versus $25.7M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $9.5M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Watch HARL: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Financial Services stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.