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Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG stock CHF 3,620, price CHF 4,180, that is 13.4% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services CH · ISIN CH0001341608

HL Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG logo Some data Nov 5, 2026

Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG

HBLN · SW
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 13% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 15.5% net margin (TTM)
2.9% dividend yield · Low payout
Quality 50/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr in CHF)
Some data
Fair value CHF 3,620 · Overvalued (−13.4%)
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 42/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 4,260 CHF 3,538 Fair Value CHF 3,620 Apr 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 3,538 – CHF 4,260 · fair‑value band CHF 2,715 – CHF 4,525 · the CHF 4,180 price screens above the CHF 3,620 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG provides various banking services and products in Switzerland. The company offers savings accounts, including youth, extra, shareholder, and rental deposit savings accounts, as well as personal, mortgage, and property loans.

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It also provides debit, credit, and travel cards; wealth management, consulting, investment, treasury bonds, and fixed-term deposit services; pension products, pension securities solutions, pension and financial planning, matrimonial property and inheritance law advice, and tax services; and internet banking services.

The company was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Lenzburg, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) currently trades at CHF 4,180, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 3,620, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of CHF 5,485 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the CHF 4,180 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at CHF 1,841, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: CHF 2,715 (bear) to CHF 4,525 (bull), the price of CHF 4,180 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG reported revenue of CHF 137M in FY2025 versus CHF 79.0M in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 20.0M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 300M Small · P/E ratio 14.1 · P/S ratio 2.18 · EPS (TTM) CHF 296.21 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 15.5% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −13%, HBLN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 2,715 Fair Value CHF 3,620 Bull CHF 4,525
Price CHF 4,180 · Downside -13.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 151.11 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income CHF 5,606 CHF 5,485 CHF 5,611 76
Gordon GGM CHF 1,045 CHF 2,062 CHF 3,090 67
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 1,045 CHF 1,619 CHF 2,179 66
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 1,894 CHF 5,320 CHF 7,000 65
Lynch FV CHF 1,076 CHF 1,537 CHF 1,998 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 1,045 CHF 2,062 CHF 3,090 67
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 1,045 CHF 1,619 CHF 2,179 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 2,715 CHF 3,620 CHF 4,525 63
P/B Multiple CHF 3,496 CHF 4,661 CHF 5,827 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 3,698 CHF 4,955 CHF 7,396 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 5,606 CHF 5,485 CHF 5,611 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 16
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 60
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 100
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 44
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 61
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 83
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.8% vs −0.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 16%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

HBLN screens overvalued: fair value 13% below the price. Compare with Rocket Companies, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Mortgage Finance · 49 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −13.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.6% · Below median
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 15.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 16.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.32× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 14.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.54× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.18× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)15 · sector 56
FUTURE (revenue growth)4 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)14 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 100

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HBLN

Frequently asked questions

Is Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 3,620 versus a price of CHF 4,180, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HBLN?
Our model-based fair value for Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is CHF 3,620 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 4,180.
What is the quality score of HBLN?
Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 3,620 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 2,715, optimistic scenario CHF 4,525. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 3,620, about 13% lower versus a price of CHF 4,180 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 2,715, optimistic scenario CHF 4,525. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 138M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG pay a dividend?
Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG currently shows a dividend yield of 2.87% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG pays a dividend of CHF 120.00 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 24, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1996. The payout ratio is 40.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG it is CHF 3,620 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of CHF 4,180. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, HBLN trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 4,180, fair value CHF 3,620, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HBLN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 4,180); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 3,620). For Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG the two are CHF 559.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG worth?
The market values Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG at about CHF 300M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is CHF 4,180; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 3,620 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HBLN?
Our models span a range for Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG: cautious scenario CHF 2,715, base CHF 3,620, optimistic CHF 4,525 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price CHF 4,180). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HBLN?
Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 3,620 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 14.9. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 2.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 1.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HBLN from its 52-week high?
Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG trades at CHF 4,180, about 2% below its 52-week high of CHF 4,260 and 8% above the low of CHF 3,866 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 3,620 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Rocket Companies, Inc, Bajaj Housing Finance Limited, PennyMac Financial Services, Inc, LIC Housing Finance Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price CHF 4,180, calculated fair value CHF 3,620 (−13%), Quality Score 50/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HBLN calculated?
We run Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG through 8 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of CHF 3,620 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was CHF 4,180. Our model-based fair value is CHF 3,620, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) come from?
Earnings per share at Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG grew −0.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.2 %, EBIT margin −8.1 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The market capitalisation of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is CHF 300M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is 2.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Earnings per share at Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG are CHF 296.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The dividend yield of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is 2.9% (payout 40.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The net margin of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is 15.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
The operating margin of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Revenue at Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is growing +0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN)?
Earnings per share at Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG are growing +11.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) generate?
The free cash flow of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is −CHF 5.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG (HBLN) carry?
The net debt of Hypothekarbank Lenzburg AG is CHF 1.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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