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Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. (HCITY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 2.4B MXN

PD Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. HCITY · MX
Price6.01 MXN
Fair Value8.65 MXN
Upside+43.9%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range 3.41 MXN – 13.90 MXN

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from 9.35 MXN to 8.65 MXN (−7.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

7.00 MXN 4.43 MXN Fair Value 8.65 MXN Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range 4.43 MXN – 7.00 MXN · fair‑value band 3.41 MXN – 13.90 MXN · the 6.01 MXN price screens below the 8.65 MXN fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. (HCITY) currently trades at 6.01 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.65 MXN — implying the stock looks roughly 43.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. generated revenue of 4.2B MXN at a net margin of -5.9%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at 5.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.2B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.1%
Net margin -5.9%
Return on equity -2.1%
Free cash flow 825M MXN FY2022
Operating margin 9.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.3800 MXN
EPS growth (YoY) -99.5%
Net debt 5.1B MXN FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A.B. de C.V. develops, operates, and manages hotels in Mexico, Costa Rica, Colombia, and Chile. The company operates hotels under the City Express by Marriott, City Express Suites by Marriott, City Express Junior by Marriott, City Express Plus by Marriott, and City Centro by Marriott brands. It also provides restaurant operation and catering services. The company was formerly known as Hoteles City Express, S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A.B. de C.V. in April 2024. Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years

Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. reported revenue of 3.2B MXN in FY2022 versus 2.9B MXN in FY2018, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 35.1M MXN in FY2022, compounding −40.4%/yr from FY2018.

Revenue +2.4%/yr
FY18 2.9B MXN
FY19 3.2B MXN
FY20 1.5B MXN
FY21 2.3B MXN
FY22 3.2B MXN
Net income −40.4%/yr
FY18 278M MXN
FY19 128M MXN
FY20 −1.1B MXN
FY21 −396M MXN
FY22 35.1M MXN

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Similar stocks

6 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $386.23 $94.01 -76%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $342.93 $123.66 -64%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $170.05 $85.18 -50%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $190.63 $54.44 -71%
H World Group H1TH34 R$62.64 R$83.92 +34%
Accor SA ACRFF $57.35 $44.83 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. (HCITY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.65 MXN versus a price of 6.01 MXN — about +44% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HCITY?
Our 21-model fair value for Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. is 8.65 MXN (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6.01 MXN.
What is the quality score of HCITY?
Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. (HCITY)?
Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.2B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HCITY?
The net profit margin of Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A. is about -5.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.