Les Hôtels de Paris SA (HDP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €14.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +9.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from €1.39 (bear) to €2.32 (bull), base €1.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.00 – €4.32 · fair‑value band €1.39 – €2.32 · the €1.88 price screens above the €1.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Les Hôtels de Paris SA (HDP) currently trades at €1.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Les Hôtels de Paris SA generated revenue of €46.4M at a net margin of -25.7%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. Net debt stands at €195M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.39 (bear case) to €2.32 (bull case); at €1.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -1%, HDP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€34.99) versus DCF Models (€7.93). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Notify me when HDP reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Les Hôtels de Paris SA operates and manages hotels in Paris. The company offers accommodation; food and beverage services; and renovation and operation of hotels, including major projects like Kraft Paris, a 4-star hotel at Porte de Versailles, and La Maison Eugénie and Le Montijo, a 4-star hotel on rue de Rome in Paris.
Full company description
Les Hôtels de Paris SA operates and manages hotels in Paris. The company offers accommodation; food and beverage services; and renovation and operation of hotels, including major projects like Kraft Paris, a 4-star hotel at Porte de Versailles, and La Maison Eugénie and Le Montijo, a 4-star hotel on rue de Rome in Paris. It also manages the Marrakech establishment through AMAZIGH RESORT, focusing on hotel operations. Les Hôtels de Paris SA was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Les Hôtels de Paris SA reported revenue of €45.3M in FY2025 versus €17.8M in FY2021, a compound +26.4%/yr. Reported net income was €11.7M in FY2025, compounding +31.3%/yr from FY2021.
Watch HDP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
Compare Les Hôtels de Paris SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Les Hôtels de Paris SA (HDP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of HDP?
What is the quality score of HDP?
What is the revenue of Les Hôtels de Paris SA (HDP)?
What is the net profit margin of HDP?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Les Hôtels de Paris SA and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.