Hengan International Group (HEGIY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.4B
Hengan International Group
HEGIY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $28.02 to $28.10 (+0.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 86% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($20.92). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.62 – $26.35 · fair‑value band $20.92 – $35.28 · the $15.11 price screens below the $28.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Hengan International Group (HEGIY) currently trades at $15.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.10, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hengan International Group generated revenue of $23.1B at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at $145M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $20.92 (bear case) to $35.28 (bull case); at $15.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 86%, HEGIY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($263.21) versus Asset-Based ($63.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hengan International Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells consumer goods in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal Hygiene Products, Tissue Paper Products, and Others.
Full company description
Hengan International Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells consumer goods in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal Hygiene Products, Tissue Paper Products, and Others. The company offers sanitary napkins and disposable cosmetics; baby products; adult, baby, children, and household wet wipes; and adult diapers and pull ups, leak-proof diapers, nursing pads, sanitary wipes, and other adult hygiene care products. It also provides tissue products, including facial tissues, handkerchiefs, toilet papers, paper napkins, kitchen paper towels, hand towels, and finished raw papers; and home furnishing, such as lazy-person cleaning cloths, food storage bags, cling films, resealable bags, cleaning bags, aluminum foil, tablecloths, PE gloves, and others. In addition, the company engages in e-commerce, trading, and procurement; manufacturing, distribution, and sale of protective equipment, medical instrument, skin care products, and antiseptics, as well as heating and power and gas; online sale of cosmetic products and personal hygiene products; distribution of disposable fibre-based products; manufacturing and sale of facial cotton products; importing, processing, and trading of papers; consultancy; and wholesale of personal effects. It sells its products under the Xinxiangyin, Zhupi, Pinnuo, Youxuan, Rouying, An'erle, Qimo, An'erkang, Bianlitu, Jialaina, and Yueshi brand names. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Jinjiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hengan International Group reported revenue of $23.1B in FY2025 versus $20.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5B in FY2025, compounding −6.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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