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Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Helium Evolution Inc C$0.02, price C$0.19, upside -91.1%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · CA · ISIN CA42328K1021

HE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Helium Evolution Inc

HEVI · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.0170 · Strongly overvalued (−91.1%)
!Quality 19/100
!Weak Growth
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.5000 C$0.1000 Fair Value C$0.0170 Mar 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range C$0.1000 – C$0.5000 · fair‑value band C$0.0085 – C$0.0170 · the C$0.1900 price screens above the C$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Helium Evolution Incorporated operates as a helium exploration and production company in southern Saskatchewan. The company is based in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI) currently trades at C$0.1900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0170, 91.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0085 (bear) to C$0.0170 (bull), the price of C$0.1900 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Helium Evolution Inc reported revenue of C$172K in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$3.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$72.6M (≈ $51.1M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0300 · Return on equity −25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −559% · Operating margin −2,212% · Revenue (TTM) C$172K · Free cash flow −C$9.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −91%, HEVI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0085 Fair Value C$0.0170 Bull C$0.0170
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0300 C$0.0400 C$0.0600 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0300 C$0.0400 C$0.0600 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 15
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HEVI screens overvalued: fair value 91% below the price. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 293 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.69× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $127.30 $90.15 −29%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.40 HK$39.91 +71%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.55 $52.31 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $140.35 $165.02 +18%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.86 $33.18 −42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.73 $51.40 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.23 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.48 A$23.87 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $341.07 $317.06 −7%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Helium Evolution Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HEVI

Frequently asked questions

Is Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0170 versus a price of C$0.1900, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HEVI?
Our model-based fair value for Helium Evolution Inc is C$0.0170 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1900.
What is the quality score of HEVI?
Helium Evolution Inc has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0170 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0085, optimistic scenario C$0.0170. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Helium Evolution Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0170, about −91% upside versus a price of C$0.1900 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0085, optimistic scenario C$0.0170. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
Helium Evolution Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$172K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Helium Evolution Inc it is C$0.0170 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$0.1900. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Helium Evolution Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HEVI trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1900, fair value C$0.0170, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HEVI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0170). For Helium Evolution Inc the two are C$0.1730 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Helium Evolution Inc worth?
The market values Helium Evolution Inc at about C$72.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1900; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0170 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HEVI?
Our models span a range for Helium Evolution Inc: cautious scenario C$0.0085, base C$0.0170, optimistic C$0.0170 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$0.1900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Helium Evolution Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −25.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HEVI from its 52-week high?
Helium Evolution Inc trades at C$0.1900, about 37% below its 52-week high of C$0.3000 and 58% above the low of C$0.1200 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0170 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Helium Evolution Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Helium Evolution Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$0.1900, calculated fair value C$0.0170 (−91%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HEVI calculated?
We run Helium Evolution Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0170, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Helium Evolution Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$0.1900. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0170, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Helium Evolution Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0170). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0085 to C$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Helium Evolution Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
The market capitalisation of Helium Evolution Inc is C$72.6M (≈ $51.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
Earnings per share at Helium Evolution Inc are C$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Helium Evolution Inc is −25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Helium Evolution Inc is −559% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI)?
The operating margin of Helium Evolution Inc is −2,212% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Helium Evolution Inc (HEVI) generate?
The free cash flow of Helium Evolution Inc is −C$9.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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