Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, (HHFA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €1.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €6.88 to €5.66 (−17.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.87 – €23.30 · fair‑value band €4.24 – €7.06 · the €21.70 price screens above the €5.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, (HHFA) currently trades at €21.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.66, implying the stock looks roughly 73.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, generated revenue of €1.8B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at €1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €4.24 (bear case) to €7.06 (bull case); at €21.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -74%, HHFA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€7.19) versus Dividend Discount (€1.74). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate.
Full company description
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate. The company handles loading, discharging, and transshipping containers to other carriers, including rail, truck, feeder, or inland waterway ships; operates container terminals; and offers container maintenance and repair services. It also provides transportation and terminal networks for containers in seaport-hinterland traffic; various maritime and continental logistics; and transports containers by road, both locally and over long-haul distances. In addition, the company engages in the operation of handling facilities for dry bulk, motor vehicles, and fruit; consultancy and management services; and process automation, digital, and leasing services. Further, it is involved in district/project development, letting, and commercial and technical management of properties. The company was formerly known as Hamburger Hafen- und Lagerhaus-AG and changed its name to Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft in January 2005. Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany. The company operated as a subsidiary of HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH. The company operates as a subsidiary of Port of Hamburg Beteiligungsgesellschaft SE.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft, reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was €9.8M in FY2025, compounding −45.7%/yr from FY2021.
HHFA screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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