Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.3B
Howard Hughes Holdings
HHH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −6.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 45% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($37.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $48.52 – $100.33 · fair‑value band $22.52 – $37.54 · the $67.48 price screens above the $37.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) currently trades at $67.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.03, implying the stock looks roughly 45.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Howard Hughes Holdings generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at $3.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $22.52 (bear case) to $37.54 (bull case); at $67.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -45%, HHH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($83.17) versus Growth DCF ($25.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops master planned communities (MPCs) in the United States. It operates through three segments: Operating Assets, MPC, and Strategic Developments. The Operating Assets segment acquires or develops retail, office, and multifamily properties, as well as invests in other real estate properties.
Full company description
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops master planned communities (MPCs) in the United States. It operates through three segments: Operating Assets, MPC, and Strategic Developments. The Operating Assets segment acquires or develops retail, office, and multifamily properties, as well as invests in other real estate properties. The MPC segment plans, develops, and sells land in large scale and long term community development projects to homebuilders and developers. The Strategic Developments segment develops residential condominium and commercial property projects, as well as various other properties. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Howard Hughes Holdings reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $124M in FY2025, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2021.
HHH screens 45% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Howard Hughes Holdings Inc (HHH) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Pivot to ...
- Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
- Howard Hughes Holdings (NYSE:HHH) Delivers Strong Q2 CY2026 Numbers
- Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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