Hiab Oyj (HIAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FI · Market cap €3.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €52.34 to €52.28 (−0.1%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +21.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (€39.81 to €72.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from €39.81 (bear) to €72.99 (bull), base €52.28. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €12.45 – €61.50 · fair‑value band €39.81 – €72.99 · the €61.40 price screens above the €52.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Hiab Oyj (HIAB) currently trades at €61.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €52.28, implying the stock looks roughly 14.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hiab Oyj generated revenue of €1.5B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €460M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €39.81 (bear case) to €72.99 (bull case); at €61.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -15%, HIAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€57.23) versus Asset-Based (€12.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hiab Oyj provides smart and on road load-handling solutions and services in Finland. The company provides loader cranes under HIAB, EFFER, and ARGOS brands; truck-mounted forklifts under MOFFETT and PRINCETON brands; forestry cranes under LOGLIFT brand; recycling cranes under JONSERED brand; demountable and hooklifts under MULTILIFT brand; roll-off cable …
Full company description
Hiab Oyj provides smart and on road load-handling solutions and services in Finland. The company provides loader cranes under HIAB, EFFER, and ARGOS brands; truck-mounted forklifts under MOFFETT and PRINCETON brands; forestry cranes under LOGLIFT brand; recycling cranes under JONSERED brand; demountable and hooklifts under MULTILIFT brand; roll-off cable hoists under GALFAB brand; tail lifts under ZEPRO, DEL, and WALTCO brands. It also offers maintenance, equipment warranty, and spare parts. The company serves waste and recycling, defense logistics, retail and final mile, and construction industries. The company was formerly known as Cargotec Corporation and changed its name to Hiab Oyj in March 2025. Hiab Oyj was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hiab Oyj reported revenue of €1.6B in FY2025 versus €3.3B in FY2021, a compound −17.2%/yr. Reported net income was €164M in FY2025, compounding −9.7%/yr from FY2021.
HIAB screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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