Hawsons Iron Limited (HIO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$17.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from A$0.0154 to A$0.0176 (+14.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −21.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (19/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0148). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.8850 · fair‑value band A$0.0148 – A$0.0204 · the A$0.0110 price screens below the A$0.0176 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Hawsons Iron Limited (HIO) currently trades at A$0.0110, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0176, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$167K. Revenue declined 52.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0148 (bear case) to A$0.0204 (bull case); at A$0.0110, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 60%, HIO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0300) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Notify me when HIO reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hawsons Iron Limited engages in the mineral exploration and development activities in Australia. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Hawsons Iron Project located in Broken Hill, New South Wales. The company was formerly known as Carpentaria Resources Limited and changed its name to Hawsons Iron Limited in August 2021.
Full company description
Hawsons Iron Limited engages in the mineral exploration and development activities in Australia. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Hawsons Iron Project located in Broken Hill, New South Wales. The company was formerly known as Carpentaria Resources Limited and changed its name to Hawsons Iron Limited in August 2021. Hawsons Iron Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Hawsons Iron Limited reported revenue of A$28.1K in FY2024 versus A$16.6K in FY2020, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.0M in FY2024.
Watch HIO: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
Compare Hawsons Iron Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Hawsons Iron Limited (HIO) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of HIO?
What is the quality score of HIO?
What is the revenue of Hawsons Iron Limited (HIO)?
What is the net profit margin of HIO?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Hawsons Iron Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.