Hikari Tsushin, Inc (HKTGF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.8B
Hikari Tsushin, Inc
HKTGF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $282.89 to $278.33 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from $208.75 (bear) to $347.91 (bull), base $278.33. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $95.75 – $286.11 · fair‑value band $208.75 – $347.91 · the $225.00 price screens below the $278.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Hikari Tsushin, Inc (HKTGF) currently trades at $225.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $278.33, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hikari Tsushin, Inc generated revenue of $735B at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at $464B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $208.75 (bear case) to $347.91 (bull case); at $225.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 24%, HKTGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($45,628) versus Asset-Based ($14,438). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hikari Tsushin, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision and sale of gas and electricity in Japan and internationally. It operates through Electricity and Gas, Telecommunication, Beverage, Insurance, Finance, Solution, and Commission-based Sales segments.
Full company description
Hikari Tsushin, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision and sale of gas and electricity in Japan and internationally. It operates through Electricity and Gas, Telecommunication, Beverage, Insurance, Finance, Solution, and Commission-based Sales segments. The company also offers communication line and supplementary services; life and non-life insurance products, and warranty services; and microfinance. In addition, it manufactures, sells, and delivers natural mineral water; provides industry-specific solutions, such as customer and payment management systems; and operates as a sales agency for various telecommunication products. The company serves individual and corporate customers. Hikari Tsushin, Inc. was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Toshima, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hikari Tsushin, Inc reported revenue of $687B in FY2025 versus $559B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $118B in FY2025, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2021.
Watch HKTGF: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
Compare Hikari Tsushin, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Hikari Tsushin, Inc (HKTGF) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of HKTGF?
What is the quality score of HKTGF?
What is the revenue of Hikari Tsushin, Inc (HKTGF)?
What is the net profit margin of HKTGF?
Does Hikari Tsushin, Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Hikari Tsushin, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.