HELLA GmbH & Co (HLE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €7.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €55.62 to €34.54 (−37.9%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€38.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €49.42 – €91.30 · fair‑value band €22.99 – €38.33 · the €71.30 price screens above the €34.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
HELLA GmbH & Co (HLE) currently trades at €71.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €34.54, implying the stock looks roughly 51.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HELLA GmbH & Co generated revenue of €7.8B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €22.99 (bear case) to €38.33 (bull case); at €71.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -52%, HLE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€66.10) versus Growth Earnings (€12.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells lighting technology and electronic components for automotive industry. It operates through three segments: Lighting, Electronics, and Lifecycle Solutions.
Full company description
HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells lighting technology and electronic components for automotive industry. It operates through three segments: Lighting, Electronics, and Lifecycle Solutions. The Lighting segment offers headlamps, com-bination rear lamps, and body and interior lighting, as well as car body lighting including radomes, illuminated logos, and front phygital shields. The Electronics segment provides automated driving products, sensors and actuators, energy management products; and body electronics, including lighting electronics and access systems. The Lifecycle Solutions segment offers vehicle diagnostics, emissions testing, battery testing, light adjustment, and calibration service, as well as data-based services; and sells vehicle wear parts, spare parts, and accessories to dealers and independent workshops. This segment develops, manufactures, and distributes lighting and electronic products for special vehicles comprising construction vehicles and agricultural, buses, trucks, and trailers, motor homes, as well as marine sectors. The company was formerly known as HELLA KGaA Hueck & Co. and changed its name to HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA in October 2017. HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Lippstadt, Germany. HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA operates as a subsidiary of Forvia Germany Gmbh.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
HELLA GmbH & Co reported revenue of €7.9B in FY2026 versus €6.3B in FY2022, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was €83.3M in FY2026, compounding −17.7%/yr from FY2022.
HLE screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- HELLA GmbH & Co KGaA (HLLGY) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Electronics Strength ...
- HELLA GmbH KGaA's (ETR:HLE) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
- HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
- There May Be Reason For Hope In HELLA GmbH KGaA's (ETR:HLE) Disappointing Earnings
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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