Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Helios Energy Limited $0.02, price $0.03, upside -20.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Helios Energy Limited operates as an onshore oil and gas exploration company in the United States. Its flagship project is the Presidio Oil and Gas project comprising 4 wells located in Presidio County, Texas. The company was formerly known as New Horizon Coal Limited and changed its name to Helios Energy Limited in April 2010.
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Helios Energy Limited operates as an onshore oil and gas exploration company in the United States. Its flagship project is the Presidio Oil and Gas project comprising 4 wells located in Presidio County, Texas. The company was formerly known as New Horizon Coal Limited and changed its name to Helios Energy Limited in April 2010. Helios Energy Limited is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF) currently trades at $0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0240, 20.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Helios Energy Limited reported revenue of $18.6K in FY2025 versus $20.2K in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $117M · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.0% · Operating margin −21,973% · Revenue growth (YoY) −69.0% · Free cash flow −$1.1M · Net cash $795K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 200% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, HLEGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−86.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,432.3% (2020) → −14,047.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 271 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Below median
Fair Value upside−20.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−4.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−69.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Helios Energy Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLEGF
Frequently asked questions
Is Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0240 versus a price of $0.0300, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HLEGF?
Our model-based fair value for Helios Energy Limited is $0.0240 (as of Oct 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0300.
What is the quality score of HLEGF?
Helios Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0240 (as of Oct 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Helios Energy Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0240, about −20% upside versus a price of $0.0300 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Helios Energy Limited it is $0.0240 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0300. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Helios Energy Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 13, 2026, HLEGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0300, fair value $0.0240, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HLEGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0240). For Helios Energy Limited the two are $0.0060 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Helios Energy Limited worth?
The market values Helios Energy Limited at about $117M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0300; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0240 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Helios Energy Limited (as of Oct 13, 2026): return on equity −8.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HLEGF from its 52-week high?
Helios Energy Limited trades at $0.0300, at its 52-week high of $0.0300 and 200% above the low of $0.0100 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0240 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Helios Energy Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Helios Energy Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 13, 2026: price $0.0300, calculated fair value $0.0240 (−20%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HLEGF calculated?
We run Helios Energy Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0240, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Helios Energy Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was $0.0300. Our model-based fair value is $0.0240, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Helios Energy Limited right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Helios Energy Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
The market capitalisation of Helios Energy Limited is $117M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Helios Energy Limited is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Helios Energy Limited is −10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
The operating margin of Helios Energy Limited is −21,973% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF)?
Revenue at Helios Energy Limited is growing −69.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Helios Energy Limited is −$1.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Helios Energy Limited (HLEGF) hold?
Helios Energy Limited holds more cash than debt, $795K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 13, 2026