Halma plc (HLMA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 13.7B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from £13.34 to £16.76 (+25.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +2.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£20.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £16.94 – £46.51 · fair‑value band £12.57 – £20.95 · the £36.40 price screens above the £16.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Halma plc (HLMA) currently trades at £36.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £16.76, implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Halma plc generated revenue of £2.4B at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.6%. Net debt stands at £770M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £12.57 (bear case) to £20.95 (bull case); at £36.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -54%, HLMA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£21.98) versus Dividend Discount (£3.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Halma plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides technology solutions in the safety, health, and environmental markets in the United States, Mainland Europe, the United Kingdom, the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Safety, Environmental & Analysis, and Healthcare.
Full company description
Halma plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides technology solutions in the safety, health, and environmental markets in the United States, Mainland Europe, the United Kingdom, the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Safety, Environmental & Analysis, and Healthcare. The Safety segment provides products that protect people, assets, and infrastructure, and electrical systems used in public and commercial spaces and in industrial and logistics operations. This segment serves fire safety, power safety, industrial safety, and urban safety markets. Its Environmental & Analysis segment offers technologies that monitor the environment used in optical analysis, water analysis and treatment system, and environmental monitoring technologies. The Healthcare segment provides technologies and digital solutions for life sciences, health assessment and analytics, and therapeutic solutions. The company was incorporated in 1894 and is headquartered in Amersham, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Halma plc reported revenue of £2.6B in FY2026 versus £1.5B in FY2022, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was £372M in FY2026, compounding +11.1%/yr from FY2022.
HLMA screens 54% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 371 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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