Helloworld Travel Limited (HLO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$239M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 99% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.29). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.09 – A$2.69 · fair‑value band A$2.29 – A$3.81 · the A$1.53 price screens below the A$3.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Helloworld Travel Limited (HLO) currently trades at A$1.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.05, implying the stock looks roughly 99.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Helloworld Travel Limited generated revenue of A$196M at a net margin of 24.7%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$68.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.29 (bear case) to A$3.81 (bull case); at A$1.53, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 99%, HLO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$5.29) versus Asset-Based (A$1.39). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Helloworld Travel Limited operates as a travel distribution company in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. The company provides international and domestic travel products and services, as well as operates retail distribution networks of travel agents and coaches.
Full company description
Helloworld Travel Limited operates as a travel distribution company in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. The company provides international and domestic travel products and services, as well as operates retail distribution networks of travel agents and coaches. It also operates retail travel brands, including Helloworld Travel"the Travel Professionals, Helloworld Business Travel, Magellan Travel, Express Travel Group, Alatus, Independent Travel Group, Select Travel Group, First Travel Group, Mobile Travel Agents, My Travel Group, The Travel Brokers, and iTalktravel and Cruise; and distributes travel products and solutions under the Viva Holidays, Sunlover Holidays, Territory Discoveries, Asia Escape Holidays, Ready Rooms, Ultimate Journeys, and GO Holidays names. In addition, the company provides Inbound and destination management services; air consolidation services under the AirTickets, Express Tickets, and SmartTickets brands; technological ticketing solutions to travel agents and networks; and transport operation and ground handling services. Further, it offers access to a database of various ocean and river cruise products, including itineraries, cruise lines, ocean and river cruise vessels, and information on various ports, as well as cruise packaging and services. The company was formerly known as Helloworld Limited and changed its name to Helloworld Travel Limited in April 2017. Helloworld Travel Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Helloworld Travel Limited reported revenue of A$26.2M in FY2025 versus A$39.7M in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$29.4M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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