Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Helloworld Travel Ltd A$1.79, price A$1.38, upside +30.2%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Helloworld Travel Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.09 – A$2.69 · fair‑value band A$1.65 – A$2.39 · the A$1.38 price screens below the A$1.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Helloworld Travel in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Helloworld Travel is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Helloworld Travel Limited operates as a travel distribution company in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. The company provides international and domestic travel products and services, as well as operates retail distribution networks of travel agents and coaches.
Show more
Helloworld Travel Limited operates as a travel distribution company in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. The company provides international and domestic travel products and services, as well as operates retail distribution networks of travel agents and coaches. It also operates retail travel brands, including Helloworld Travel"the Travel Professionals, Helloworld Business Travel, Magellan Travel, Express Travel Group, Alatus, Independent Travel Group, Select Travel Group, First Travel Group, Mobile Travel Agents, My Travel Group, The Travel Brokers, and iTalktravel and Cruise; and distributes travel products and solutions under the Viva Holidays, Sunlover Holidays, Territory Discoveries, Asia Escape Holidays, Ready Rooms, Ultimate Journeys, and GO Holidays names. In addition, the company provides Inbound and destination management services; air consolidation services under the AirTickets, Express Tickets, and SmartTickets brands; technological ticketing solutions to travel agents and networks; and transport operation and ground handling services. Further, it offers access to a database of various ocean and river cruise products, including itineraries, cruise lines, ocean and river cruise vessels, and information on various ports, as well as cruise packaging and services. The company was formerly known as Helloworld Limited and changed its name to Helloworld Travel Limited in April 2017. Helloworld Travel Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia.
Stock analysis
Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO) currently trades at A$1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$5.36 per share, and 11 of the 12 models we run sit above the A$1.38 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$1.39, and 1 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$1.65 (bear) to A$2.39 (bull), the price of A$1.38 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Helloworld Travel Ltd reported revenue of A$26.2M in FY2025 versus A$39.7M in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$29.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$223M (≈ $157M) · P/E ratio 4.3 · P/S ratio 4.82 · EPS (TTM) A$0.3200 · Dividend yield 8.0% · Net margin 112% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 30%, HLO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$1.65Fair Value A$1.79Bull A$2.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.2100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−87.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −21.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10% vs 28%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → −498%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+30% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.79 versus a price of A$1.38, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HLO?
Our model-based fair value for Helloworld Travel Ltd is A$1.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.38.
What is the quality score of HLO?
Helloworld Travel Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.65, optimistic scenario A$2.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Helloworld Travel Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.79, about +30% upside versus a price of A$1.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$1.65, optimistic scenario A$2.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Helloworld Travel Ltd pay a dividend?
Helloworld Travel Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Helloworld Travel Ltd it is A$1.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$1.38. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Helloworld Travel Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HLO trades below its calculated fair value: price A$1.38, fair value A$1.79, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HLO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.79). For Helloworld Travel Ltd the two are A$0.4150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Helloworld Travel Ltd worth?
The market values Helloworld Travel Ltd at about A$223M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$1.38; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HLO?
Our models span a range for Helloworld Travel Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.65, base A$1.79, optimistic A$2.39 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$1.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HLO?
Helloworld Travel Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 2.2.
What is the PEG ratio of HLO?
The PEG ratio of Helloworld Travel Ltd is 0.98 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Helloworld Travel Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 14.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HLO from its 52-week high?
Helloworld Travel Ltd trades at A$1.38, about 32% below its 52-week high of A$2.01 and 1% above the low of A$1.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Helloworld Travel Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Helloworld Travel Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$1.38, calculated fair value A$1.79 (+30%), Quality Score 43/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HLO calculated?
We run Helloworld Travel Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Helloworld Travel Ltd currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$1.38. Our model-based fair value is A$1.79, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Helloworld Travel Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$1.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Helloworld Travel Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The market capitalisation of Helloworld Travel Ltd is A$223M (≈ $157M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Helloworld Travel Ltd is 4.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
Earnings per share at Helloworld Travel Ltd are A$0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The dividend yield of Helloworld Travel Ltd is 8.0% (payout 34.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The net margin of Helloworld Travel Ltd is 112% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Helloworld Travel Ltd is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Helloworld Travel Ltd is −6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
The operating margin of Helloworld Travel Ltd is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
Revenue at Helloworld Travel Ltd is growing +10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO)?
Earnings per share at Helloworld Travel Ltd are growing +149% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO) generate?
The free cash flow of Helloworld Travel Ltd is −A$19.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Helloworld Travel Ltd (HLO) hold?
Helloworld Travel Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$68.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Helloworld Travel Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Helloworld Travel Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
