HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings (HLPMF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $3.6B
HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings
HLPMF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $9.02 to $9.10 (+0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $8.79 – $12.80 · fair‑value band $6.82 – $12.73 · the $12.80 price screens above the $9.10 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings (HLPMF) currently trades at $12.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.10, implying the stock looks roughly 28.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings generated revenue of $11.6B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.82 (bear case) to $12.73 (bull case); at $12.80, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -29%, HLPMF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the energy sector in Greece, the Southeastern Europe, and the East Mediterranean. It operates through Refining, Supply and Trading; Marketing; Production and Trading of Petrochemicals; Power; Exploration and Production of Hydrocarbons; and Electromobility segments. The company engages in the refining, supply, and trading of crude oil and petroleum products; marketing of fuels; wholesale trading of oil products; production and marketing of polypropylene, BOPP/cast films, and solvents; trading of imported plastics and chemicals; and production, trading, and supply of power. It is also involved in the wholesale trading and distribution of natural gas; production and trading of energy produced by renewable energy sources; exploration and production of hydrocarbons; and provision of treasury, consulting, and engineering services, as well as IT services. In addition, the company engages in the owning and marketing …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings reported revenue of $11.6B in FY2025 versus $9.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $173M in FY2025, compounding −15.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Chevron (CVX) Expands Into a Promising New Offshore Region; Could It Be a Long-Term Growth Driver?
- HelleniQ Energy to Grant Chevron (CVX) 70% Interest in Block 10 Offshore Concession
- Chevron Expands Footprint in Greek Offshore Sector
- Chevron (CVX) Buys 70% Of Greece Offshore Block 10 With HELLENiQ ENERGY
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,291 | ₹812.28 | -37% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $243.78 | $127.32 | -48% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $247.29 | $135.74 | -45% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $183.08 | $50.63 | -72% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €28.13 | €6.38 | -77% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 55.30 TWD | 25.02 TWD | -55% |
| ENEOS Holdings JXHLY | $15.31 | $17.72 | +16% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.26 | ₹394.34 | +185% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $70.76 | $43.77 | -38% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 100,200 KRW | 232,034 KRW | +132% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.