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Heidmar Maritime Holdings (HMR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $64.3M

HM Heidmar Maritime Holdings logo Heidmar Maritime Holdings HMR · US
Price$1.27
Fair Value$2.02
Upside+60.0%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -20.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.55 – $2.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $0.7300 to $2.02 (+177.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.55). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

$5.95 $0.7680 Fair Value $2.02 Feb 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range $0.7680 – $5.95 · fair‑value band $1.55 – $2.50 · the $1.27 price screens below the $2.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Heidmar Maritime Holdings (HMR) currently trades at $1.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.02, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Heidmar Maritime Holdings generated revenue of $68.4M at a net margin of -20.1%. Revenue grew 214.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $18.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.55 (bear case) to $2.50 (bull case); at $1.27, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 60%, HMR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.16 $3.29 $5.06 72
Gordon GGM $0.9400 $1.58 $2.05 70
Rev-Margin DCF $1.68 $2.53 $4.31 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.28 $3.08 $5.38 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.57 $2.25 $3.65 39
10Y Revenue Exit $1.80 $3.02 $3.64 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.9400 $1.58 $2.05 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.9400 $1.50 $1.70 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.11 $1.45 $1.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1800 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.16 $3.29 $5.06 72
Rev-Margin DCF $1.68 $2.53 $4.31 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3.02) versus Asset-Based ($0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $68.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +214%
Net margin -20.1%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow $9.8M FY2025
Operating margin 15.2%
More key figures
Net cash $18.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp., a commercial and technical management company, operates tanker and dry-bulk vessel pools worldwide.

Full company description

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp., a commercial and technical management company, operates tanker and dry-bulk vessel pools worldwide. It offers asset management, tanker pooling, and commercial and time charters services; and provides assistance to clients with the buying and selling of ships and technical management services for individual vessels, which includes assistance in technical operations and crewing of the vessel. The company also develops and operates eFleetWatch, a digital platform in the commercial management space which provides port agents, brokers, and employees with tools to monitor, track, and manage vessels. As of April 30, 2026, it manages a fleet of 50 vessels, with an aggregate capacity of approximately 6.5 million dwt, which include 5 VLCCs, 9 Suezmax tankers, 4 LR2 tankers, 2 LR1 tankers, 11 MR tankers, 7 Aframax tankers, 3 small tankers, 1 platform supply vessel's (PSV), 5 bulk carriers, and 3 vessels as chartering brokers. Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. is headquartered in Piraeus, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Heidmar Maritime Holdings reported revenue of $55.9M in FY2025 versus $4.8M in FY2021, a compound +85.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$22.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$55.9M
Latest YoY
+92.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.9%
Revenue +85.0%/yr
FY21 $4.8M
FY22 $30.1M
FY23 $49.1M
FY24 $28.9M
FY25 $55.9M
Net income
FY21 $1.1M
FY22 $16.2M
FY23 $19.6M
FY24 $1.9M
FY25 −$22.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Heidmar Maritime Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HMR

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 214% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 4 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heidmar Maritime Holdings (HMR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.02 versus a price of $1.27, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HMR?
Our model-based fair value for Heidmar Maritime Holdings is $2.02 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.27.
What is the quality score of HMR?
Heidmar Maritime Holdings has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Heidmar Maritime Holdings (HMR)?
Heidmar Maritime Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $68.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HMR?
The net profit margin of Heidmar Maritime Holdings is about -20.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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