Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹41.85 – ₹122.50 · fair‑value band ₹130.50 – ₹333.63 · the ₹81.09 price screens below the ₹207.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited engages in the publishing business in India. It operates through two segments, Printing & Publishing of Newspaper & Periodicals; and Digital.
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Hindustan Media Ventures Limited engages in the publishing business in India. It operates through two segments, Printing & Publishing of Newspaper & Periodicals; and Digital. The company publishes under various brands, including Hindustan, a newspaper which covers international, national, and local news relating to politics, business, entertainment, sports, and other general interests; Nandan, a monthly children's magazine that offers traditional and modern stories, poems, interactive and educative columns, and facts; Kadambini, a monthly socio-cultural magazine, which provides a range of subjects, such as literature, art, culture, health, technology, fashion, travel, and beauty; and LiveHindustan.com, a Hindi news website. It also operates HT Media Labs, which offers OTTplay, Slurrp, MintGenie, and Upublish that caters various needs of users, ranging from entertainment to personal finance. The company was formerly known as Searchlight Publishing House Limited and changed its name to Hindustan Media Ventures Limited in November 2008. The company was incorporated in 1918 and is based in New Delhi, India. Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is a subsidiary of HT Media Limited.
Stock analysis
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) currently trades at ₹81.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹207.43, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹394.65 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹81.09 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹107.31, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹130.50 (bear) to ₹333.63 (bull), the price of ₹81.09 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited reported revenue of ₹7.4B in FY2026 versus ₹6.7B in FY2022, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.4B in FY2026, compounding +36.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹6.5B (≈ $67.2M) · P/E ratio 4.2 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) ₹19.15 · Net margin 19.1% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.5% · Operating margin 28.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 156%, HMVL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹130.50Fair Value ₹207.43Bull ₹333.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹9.08 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +5.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs −3%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 13%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 222% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Hindustan Media Ventures Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 109 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Above median
Fair Value upside+199% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hindustan Media Ventures Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HMVL
Frequently asked questions
Is Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹207.43 versus a price of ₹81.09, about +156% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HMVL?
Our model-based fair value for Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is ₹207.43 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹81.09.
What is the quality score of HMVL?
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹207.43 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹130.50, optimistic scenario ₹333.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hindustan Media Ventures Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹207.43, about +156% upside versus a price of ₹81.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹130.50, optimistic scenario ₹333.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹7.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hindustan Media Ventures Limited would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HMVL use?
Our models discount Hindustan Media Ventures Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hindustan Media Ventures Limited that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hindustan Media Ventures Limited grew +6.7 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.78 %: that much free cash flow Hindustan Media Ventures Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hindustan Media Ventures Limited it is ₹207.43 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹81.09. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hindustan Media Ventures Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, HMVL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹81.09, fair value ₹207.43, a gap of about +156% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HMVL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹81.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹207.43). For Hindustan Media Ventures Limited the two are ₹126.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hindustan Media Ventures Limited worth?
The market values Hindustan Media Ventures Limited at about ₹6.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹81.09; our models calculate a fair value of ₹207.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HMVL?
Our models span a range for Hindustan Media Ventures Limited: cautious scenario ₹130.50, base ₹207.43, optimistic ₹333.63 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹81.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HMVL?
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹207.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 9.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HMVL from its 52-week high?
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited trades at ₹81.09, about 19% below its 52-week high of ₹100.00 and 47% above the low of ₹55.20 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹207.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hindustan Media Ventures Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Pearson plc, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hindustan Media Ventures Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹81.09, calculated fair value ₹207.43 (+156%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HMVL calculated?
We run Hindustan Media Ventures Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹207.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hindustan Media Ventures Limited currently trades 156 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ₹81.09. Our model-based fair value is ₹207.43, about +156% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hindustan Media Ventures Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹130.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹130.50 to ₹333.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The market capitalisation of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is ₹6.5B (≈ $67.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is 0.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Earnings per share at Hindustan Media Ventures Limited are ₹19.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The net margin of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is 19.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is −1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
The operating margin of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is 28.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Revenue at Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL)?
Earnings per share at Hindustan Media Ventures Limited are growing −39.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) carry?
The net debt of Hindustan Media Ventures Limited is ₹683M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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