China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (601858) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 20.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥10.41 to ¥10.31 (−1.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +56.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.72 – ¥48.28 · fair‑value band ¥7.81 – ¥13.01 · the ¥26.32 price screens above the ¥10.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (601858) currently trades at ¥26.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.31, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd generated revenue of 2.9B CNY at a net margin of 16.6%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.81 (bear case) to ¥13.01 (bull case); at ¥26.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -61%, 601858 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥11.38) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. engages in publishing of books and periodicals in China. It offers academic monographs, teaching materials, supplementary teaching materials, science books, and other books, as well as academic periodicals and magazine.
Full company description
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. engages in publishing of books and periodicals in China. It offers academic monographs, teaching materials, supplementary teaching materials, science books, and other books, as well as academic periodicals and magazine. The company also imports and exports books, periodicals, databases and other publications; sells digital products; and provides platform services and other knowledge service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Science Publishing & Media Group Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd reported revenue of ¥3.0B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥484M in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
601858 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
| Central China Land Media CO.,LTD, 000719 | ¥12.18 | ¥25.26 | +107% |
Compare China Science Publishing & Media Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Communication Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (601858) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 601858?
What is the quality score of 601858?
What is the revenue of China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (601858)?
What is the net profit margin of 601858?
Does China Science Publishing & Media Ltd pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track China Science Publishing & Media Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.